Waregem vs Charleroi Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Elindus Arena
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.65
Draw
3.45
Away Win
2.73
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Waregem
Charleroi
29'
⚽ Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (Aurelien Scheidler)
80'
🟨 Isaac Cisse
Ousseynou Niang 🟨
81'
83'
🟨 Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
90+3'
🟨 Adama Bojang
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
5
9
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Waregem (4-3-2-1)
L. Bostyn
F. Tangala
L. Lemoine
J. Kiilerich
Y. Cappelle
T. Claes
E. Lofolomo
O. Niang
Á. Zalán
M. Aké
A. Ementa
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
M. Koné
K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou
C. Keita
M. Nzita
Y. Khalifi
A. Boukamir
P. Pflücke
J. Romsaas
F. Situmona Mbemba
A. Scheidler
Player Ratings ?
Waregem
J. KiilerichD7.1
T. ClaesM6.8
L. BostynG6.8
Charleroi
J. RomsaasM8.2
M. KonéG7.2
Y. KhalifiM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Waregem edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Waregem slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Waregem slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Waregem stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charleroi arrives with an impressive record of five wins from their last five away fixtures, while Waregem have secured four victories and one draw in their most recent five home outings. Waregem have found the net in all five of their last home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet only twice during that same span. Waregem rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while defence is closely matched. Waregem won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 22 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Charleroi's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Waregem's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Charleroi's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Charleroi unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Charleroi points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Charleroi
Charleroi's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Charleroi win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Waregem remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Waregem win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.7% → 36.4%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.9%
+0.6 pts
Charleroi win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
38.0% → 35.7%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Waregem
Draw
Charleroi
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WaregemCharleroi
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
5
2.20
Points/Game
2.40
2.00
Goals/Game
2.20
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.9
Shots/Game
18.0
4.6
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Waregem at home (3 matches) vs Charleroi away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
67%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Waregem
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charleroi
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Waregem Wins
2
Draws
0
Charleroi Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Waregem1 – 0Charleroi
Charleroi1 – 2Waregem
Charleroi3 – 2Waregem
Waregem1 – 3Charleroi
Charleroi3 – 0Waregem
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Waregemvs
Charleroi
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 52.9%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 57.4%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Waregem's 10 matches and 5 of Charleroi's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?