Almeria vs Cadiz Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.51
Draw
4.34
Away Win
6.13
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Almeria
Cadiz
5'
🟨 Dilan Zárate
Stefan Džodić 🟨
8'
Javier Munoz (B. Cipenga) ⚽
13'
25'
⚽ J. Castro (A. Cordero)
Brian Cipenga 🟨
32'
M. de la Fuente (B. Cipenga) ⚽
36'
Leo Baptistao (B. Cipenga) ⚽
44'
67'
🟨 Marc-Olivier Doué
90'
⚽ (OG) D. Chirino
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
A. Fernandez
M. Luna
Rodrigo Ely
F. Bonini
L. Lelo
S. Dzodic
Q. Junyent
Leo Baptistao
Javier Munoz
B. Cipenga
M. de la Fuente
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
J. Ezkieta
G. Gocholeishvili
B. Kovacevic
J. Castro
C. Gutierrez
D. Rodriguez
M. Doue
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Jandro
A. Cordero
Izeta
Player Ratings ?
Almeria
B. CipengaM9.3
Léo BaptistãoM8.2
Miguel de la FuenteF7.8
Cadiz
Javi CastroD7.2
Borja VazquezF6.7
Jandro OrellanaM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Almeria
Almeria rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Almeria a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Almeria win
Latest market chance 61.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
61.3% → 61.8%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.7% → 22.4%
−0.3 pts
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 15.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.0% → 15.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Almeria
Draw
Cadiz
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlmeriaCadiz
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
18th
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.5
Shots/Game
12.2
4.2
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Almeria at home (5 matches) vs Cadiz away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.75
2.40
Goals/Game
1.50
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.75
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Almeria
Home form
L
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cadiz
Away form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Almeria Wins
3
Draws
1
Cadiz Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Cadiz1 – 2Almeria
Almeria3 – 0Cadiz
Cadiz2 – 1Almeria
Almeria1 – 1Cadiz
Almeria6 – 1Cadiz
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Almeriavs
Cadiz
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 54.6%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 52.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Almeria's 10 matches and 7 of Cadiz's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?