Almeria vs Celta B Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
UD Almería Stadium
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.71
Away Win
6.71
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Almeria
Celta B
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo (Javier Muñoz Jiménez) ⚽
6'
Javier Muñoz Jiménez (Marcos Luna) ⚽
18'
87'
🟨 Adrià Capdevila
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
1
2
Corner Kicks
5
14
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Andrés Fernández
Marcos Luna
Chumi
F. Bonini
Álex Muñoz
S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz
Adri Embarba
Nico Melamed
B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente
Celta B (3-4-3)
Coke Carrillo
K. Ribes
P. Meixus
A. Rodriguez
G. Miller
Adrià Capdevila
H. Cuenca
Joel López
O. Marcos
B. Somuah
Ángel Arcos
Player Ratings ?
Almeria
Javi MuñozM8.9
Nico MelamedM8.2
Marcos LunaD7.8
Celta B
Coke CarrilloG7.0
K. RibesD6.8
A. MarinF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Almeria edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Almeria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Almeria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Almeria stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Almeria have recorded four wins from their last five home outings across seasons, while Celta B remain unbeaten in just two away fixtures with a single victory and one draw to their name. At home, the hosts have scored in five of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same recent run. Almeria rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and attack. Over the 3-day comparison window, Almeria's implied win probability has fallen by 2.4 percentage points, while Celta B's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Almeria
Almeria's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Almeria win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Almeria win
Latest market chance 65.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
67.4% → 65.0%
−2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 20.5%
+0.6 pts
Celta B win
Latest market chance 14.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
12.7% → 14.5%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Almeria
Draw
Celta B
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlmeriaCelta B
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
15th
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
1.40
1.60
Goals/Game
1.40
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.60
13.5
Shots/Game
12.0
4.2
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Almeria at home (5 matches) vs Celta B away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.40
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.25
100%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Almeria
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celta B
Away form
D
W
Unbeaten in last 2 away
Limited history — only 2 away fixtures on record for Celta B.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
2/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Almeria and Celta B.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Almeriavs
Celta B
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/5
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/5
3/10
Failed to Score
2/5
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 58.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.4%→Latest 53.5%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Celta B have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
5 of Almeria's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?