Almeria vs Malaga Head to Head
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Malaga
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Medium
Almeria
Malaga
47%
Form
53%
55%
Attack Strength
45%
25%
Defensive Strength
75%
38%
Head-to-Head
62%
47%
Goal Trend
53%
44.3%
Overall Edge
55.7%
Almeria vs Malaga looks like a Malaga-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Malaga holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
46%
Almeria to Win
Home: 46% Draw: 27% Away: 28%
Attack vs Defence ?
+1.14 goals
Home advantage
Almeria scores 2.48 goals/game at home
Malaga concedes 1.33 goals/game away
Malaga concedes 1.33 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
3.2 goals
High Scoring Game
Almeria: 1.9 scored / 1.5 conceded
Malaga: 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded
Malaga: 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded
Almeria
Malaga
3
League Pos
4
74
Points
73
1.76
PPG
1.74
1.93
Goals For
1.79
1.50
Goals Against
1.24
71.4%
BTTS %
61.9%
82
DB Pwr ?
97 stronger by 15
71%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
43%
W L L D W
Form
W D W W W
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2026-04-192025-2026Almeria3-2Malaga
2025-12-212025-2026Malaga2-1Almeria
2025-03-012024-2025Almeria2-2Malaga
2024-12-082024-2025Malaga1-1Almeria
2022-02-122021-2022Malaga0-1Almeria
⚡ Betting Angles
Both teams run high O2.5 rates (Almeria 71.4% / Malaga 59.5%) — combined 65%. Lean Over 2.5.
BTTS likely — Almeria 71.4% / Malaga 61.9% BTTS rate this season. Combined average 67%.
Home attack advantage: Almeria scores 2.48 goals/game at home, Malaga concedes 1.33 goals/game away — +1.14-goal advantage.
Malaga in red-hot form — 13 pts from last 5.