Cadiz vs Leganes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nuevo Mirandilla
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.02
Draw
3.10
Away Win
2.63
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Cadiz
Leganes
Antonio Cordero (Vladyslav Kopotun) ⚽
6'
43'
🟨 Yassine Kechta
Vladyslav Kopotun ⚽
54'
62'
🟨 Naim Garcia
Manuel Fernández Arroyo 🟨
69'
Antonio Cordero (Aimen Moueffek) ⚽
71'
73'
🟨 Rubén Pulido
Juan Díaz Peregrina 🟨
74'
Aimen Moueffek (Borja Vazquez) ⚽
83'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
24
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
David Gil
J. Diaz Peregrina
Javi Castro
Manu Fernández
Sergio Arribas
Jandro Orellana
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Antonio Cordero
M. Doué
Ibon Sánchez
V. Kopotun
Leganes (3-5-2)
L. Zidane
Lalo Aguilar
Javi Montero
Marvel
Álex Sancris
Y. Kechta
Miguel Atienza
Ismaël Gharbi
Naim García
P. Soko
Álvaro Morata
Player Ratings ?
Cadiz
Antonio CorderoM9.5
V. KopotunF9.0
A. MoueffekM8.2
Leganes
L. ZidaneG6.6
Álvaro MorataF6.4
Lalo AguilarD6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cadiz edge attack and head-to-head, Leganes edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leganes stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cadiz stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leganes slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cadiz stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leganes have managed just one victory from their last five away outings, while Cadiz share an identical record of a single win and two draws in their most recent five home fixtures. Cadiz have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, yet they have also kept just two clean sheets during that same span. Leganes rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Cadiz rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Cadiz won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 24 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Leganes's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.25 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Cadiz's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Leganes's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Cadiz losing run
50%
Leganes yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Leganes
Leganes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leganes win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 32.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
31.8% → 32.8%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.7%
+0.3 pts
Leganes win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
38.8% → 37.5%
−1.3 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CadizLeganes
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
10th
8
Games Played
8
0.63
Points/Game
1.38
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.12
12.2
Shots/Game
11.1
3.9
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Cadiz at home (6 matches) vs Leganes away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.83
1.67
Goals/Game
0.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.83
33%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cadiz
Home form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Leganes
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cadiz Wins
2
Draws
1
Leganes Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Cadiz3 – 0Leganes
Leganes1 – 1Cadiz
Leganes0 – 1Cadiz
Cadiz1 – 2Leganes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cadizvs
Leganes
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.0%→Latest 42.3%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 48.7%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Cadiz's 10 matches and 2 of Leganes's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?