Celta B vs Sabadell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Balaídos
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.24
Draw
3.42
Away Win
2.29
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Celta B
Sabadell
Alvaro·Marin Sesma ⚽
6'
20'
🟨 Pere Pons
23'
⚽ Edgar Gonzalez (Ton Ripoll)
32'
🟨 Edgar Gonzalez
54'
🟨 José Luis Català
54'
🟨 Albert Orriols Cerarols
Anxo Rodríguez Álvarez 🟨
78'
Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
4
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
7
15
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Celta B (3-4-3)
Coke Carrillo
K. Ribes
S. M. Ndiaye
A. Rodriguez
P. Gavian
Adrià Capdevila
H. Burcio
G. Miller
A. Kibet
A. Marin
O. Marcos
Sabadell (3-5-2)
Diego Fuoli
Óscar Sanz
Edgar González
José Luis Català
Ton Ripoll
Q. Liameed
Urri
Pere Pons
Miki Codina
Gastón Valles
J. Priego
Player Ratings ?
Celta B
A. MarinF7.5
Coke CarrilloG6.8
Ángel ArcosF6.8
Sabadell
Edgar GonzálezD7.7
Javi LópezM6.9
N. ObolskiyF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Celta B edge attack, Sabadell edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sabadell stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celta B stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sabadell stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Sabadell have secured just a solitary victory in their last five outings away from home, while Celta B have endured two defeats in their most recent three matches at this venue. Celta B have found the net in two of their last three home games but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Sabadell rate stronger on form and defence, while Celta B rate stronger on attack. Over the 5-day comparison window, Celta B's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points, while Sabadell's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Sabadell
Sabadell's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sabadell win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celta B win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.3% → 29.9%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 28.2%
+0.2 pts
Sabadell win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
42.7% → 41.9%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Celta B
Draw
Sabadell
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Celta BSabadell
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.83
1.17
Goals/Game
1.17
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.83
12.0
Shots/Game
15.4
4.9
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Celta B at home (5 matches) vs Sabadell away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.80
1.40
Goals/Game
0.40
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.80
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celta B
Home form
W
L
L
Lost 2 of last 3 at home
Limited history — only 3 home fixtures on record for Celta B.
1.67
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.67
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
0/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sabadell
Away form
L
W
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Celta B and Sabadell.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celta Bvs
Sabadell
Recent Scoring Profile
1.17
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.67
Goals conceded / game
0.90
3/6
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
2/6
Both Teams Scored
2/10
3/6
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 47.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 53.9%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Celta B have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Sabadell's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?