Eibar vs Las Palmas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Sun 27 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.01
Draw
3.22
Away Win
4.28
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Eibar
Las Palmas
Ander Madariaga Susaeta (Malcom Ares) ⚽
6'
Alvaro Rodriguez (Malcom Ares) ⚽
9'
24'
⚽ Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi (Iván Jaime)
28'
🟨 Giovanni Bonfanti
37'
🟨 Alex Suárez
Javier Martón Ansó (jon guruzeta) ⚽
62'
69'
🟨 Kirian Rodríguez
81'
🟨 Iván Jaime
85'
⚽ Jefte Betancor Sanchez (Elías Romero)
86'
🟨 Andrés Rodríguez Martínez
90+1'
🟨 Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi
90+2'
🟨 Iñaki González Zambrano
90+4'
🟥 Iñaki González Zambrano
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
18
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
1
6
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
6
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
Jon Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez
Unai Elgezabal
Anaitz Arbilla
Juan Bernat
Aleix Garrido
Ander Madariaga
Malcom Adu
Jon Magunazelaia
Jon Guruzeta
Javi Martón
Las Palmas (4-4-2)
José Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez
G. Bonfanti
E. Loiodice
T. Miyashiro
Kirian Rodríguez
Iñaki González Zambrano
Iván Jaime
Jesé
Manu Fuster
Player Ratings ?
Eibar
Malcom AduM8.4
Ander MadariagaM8.2
Javi MartónF7.7
Las Palmas
Jefté BetancorF7.3
Iván JaimeM7.2
Manu FusterF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Eibar edge recent form, attack and defence, Las Palmas edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Eibar slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Eibar stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Las Palmas have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and one draw from their last five outings, while Eibar have secured three victories in that same span at home despite two defeats. At the ground, Eibar have found the net in every one of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Eibar rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Las Palmas rate stronger on head-to-head. Eibar won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 29 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Las Palmas's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Eibar's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Las Palmas's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Eibar remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eibar win
Latest market chance 48.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
47.0% → 48.0%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
30.0% → 28.7%
−1.3 pts
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.0% → 23.4%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eibar
Draw
Las Palmas
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EibarLas Palmas
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
2.50
Points/Game
1.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
11.1
Shots/Game
10.6
5.0
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Eibar at home (4 matches) vs Las Palmas away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.75
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.00
75%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eibar
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Las Palmas
Away form
W
D
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eibar Wins
1
Draws
2
Las Palmas Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Eibar3 – 1Las Palmas
Las Palmas3 – 1Eibar
Eibar0 – 1Las Palmas
Las Palmas1 – 1Eibar
Eibar2 – 2Las Palmas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eibarvs
Las Palmas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.5%→Latest 50.3%+5.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 54.8%+5.1 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Eibar's 10 matches and 4 of Las Palmas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?