Girona vs Mallorca Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadi Montilivi
Sun 04 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.55
Draw
3.30
Away Win
2.96
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Girona
Mallorca
10'
🟨 Antonio Sánchez
32'
🟨 Alberto Moreno
52'
🟨 Pablo Torre
Izan González 🟨
63'
87'
🟨 Adrian Fuentes
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Girona (4-2-3-1)
P. Gazzaniga
J. Bonar
D. Lopez
A. Frances
A. Moreno
I. Morante
I. Gonzalez
C. Perez
D. van de Beek
J. Sarasa
A. Ruiz
Mallorca (4-1-3-2)
A. Tenas
J. Donald
A. Raillo
A. Soumahoro
A. Moreno
A. Sanchez
A. Puigmal
P. Torre
A. Sala
A. Buksa
A. Fuentes
Player Ratings ?
Girona
Álex MorenoD7.7
Alejandro FrancésD7.5
Javier SarasaM7.3
Mallorca
Arnau TenasG8.2
John DonaldD7.9
Antonio RaílloD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Girona edge attack, Mallorca edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mallorca slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Girona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Girona arrive at home with three wins from their last five outings, whereas Mallorca have secured just two victories away in that same span alongside a draw and a defeat. At home, Girona have scored in five of their last five matches but have kept two clean sheets in that same period. Mallorca rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and head-to-head, while Girona rate stronger on attack. Mallorca won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 1 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Girona's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Girona's implied win probability has fallen by 5.6 percentage points, while Mallorca's implied win probability has risen by 3.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Girona
Girona's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Girona win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Girona win
Latest market chance 38.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
44.1% → 38.5%
−5.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.7% → 28.6%
+1.9 pts
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 32.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
29.1% → 32.9%
+3.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Girona
Draw
Mallorca
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GironaMallorca
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
8
Games Played
7
2.00
Points/Game
1.86
2.00
Goals/Game
1.14
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.43
15.1
Shots/Game
12.2
5.1
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Girona at home (6 matches) vs Mallorca away (4 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
1.25
1.83
Goals/Game
0.25
0.83
Conceded/Game
0.50
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Girona
Home form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mallorca
Away form
W
D
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Girona Wins
2
Draws
0
Mallorca Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.8
Girona0 – 1Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 2Girona
Girona1 – 0Mallorca
Mallorca2 – 1Girona
Mallorca1 – 0Girona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gironavs
Mallorca
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded / game
0.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 50.3%−2.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 56.1%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Girona's 10 matches and 3 of Mallorca's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?