Las Palmas vs Valladolid Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gran Canaria
Sun 04 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.25
Draw
3.34
Away Win
3.44
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Las Palmas
Valladolid
V. Pezzolesi (Ivan Jaime) ⚽
5'
10'
⚽ J. Latasa (V. Fernandez)
26'
⚽ J. Ponceau (V. Fernandez)
35'
🟨 Mathis Lachuer
Iván Jaime 🟨
45'
E. Romero (Jese) ⚽
54'
77'
🟨 Francisco Escriba Segura
78'
🟨 Víctor Fernández
82'
🟨 Kaj de Rooij
90'
🟨 Yeray Cabanzón
Ivan Medina 🟨
90+2'
Giovanni Bonfanti 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
7
3
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
25
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Las Palmas (4-4-2)
J. Caro
V. Pezzolesi
Alex Suarez
G. Bonfanti
A. Rodriguez
T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice
K. Rodriguez
Ivan Jaime
Jese
E. Romero
Valladolid (4-1-3-2)
A. Aceves
I. Alejo
P. Tomeo
D. Torres
I. Garriel
S. Juric
M. Lachuer
V. Fernandez
J. Ponceau
A. Arnuncio
J. Latasa
Player Ratings ?
Las Palmas
Valentín PezzolesiD7.7
José CaroG7.4
Elías RomeroF7.4
Valladolid
Juanmi LatasaF8.0
Víctor FernándezM8.0
J. PonceauM7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Las Palmas
Las Palmas rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Las Palmas a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Las Palmas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Las Palmas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Valladolid arrive at this fixture with a difficult away record, having recorded just two draws and three defeats in their last five outings, while Las Palmas have managed one win alongside two draws and two losses during their corresponding home sample. At home, Las Palmas have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only kept a single clean sheet within that same period. Las Palmas rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Las Palmas won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Valladolid's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Las Palmas a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Valladolid points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 43.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.0% → 43.1%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 28.7%
−0.1 pts
Valladolid win
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.1%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Las Palmas
Draw
Valladolid
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Las PalmasValladolid

Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
19th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
1.14
1.43
Goals/Game
0.86
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.29
10.6
Shots/Game
12.1
3.9
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Las Palmas at home (4 matches) vs Valladolid away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.60
1.25
Goals/Game
0.80
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.40
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Las Palmas
Home form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Valladolid
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Las Palmas Wins
4
Draws
1
Valladolid Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Las Palmas2 – 1Valladolid
Valladolid0 – 1Las Palmas
Valladolid1 – 1Las Palmas
Las Palmas2 – 1Valladolid
Valladolid0 – 1Las Palmas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Las Palmasvs
Valladolid

Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.1%→Latest 47.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 53.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Las Palmas's 10 matches and 3 of Valladolid's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?