Oviedo vs Sp Gijon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Sun 27 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.16
Away Win
4.15
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Oviedo
Sp Gijon
Chris Ramos (Mikel Goti Lopez) ⚽
8'
18'
🟨 Guillermo Rosas
Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva 🟨
18'
39'
🟨 Pablo Vázquez
Jacobo González 🟨
63'
66'
🟨 Álex Corredera
66'
🟨 Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón
Dani Calvo 🟨
74'
74'
🟨 Aimar Duñabeitia
76'
🟥 César Gelabert
76'
🟨 Rubén Yáñez
Enzo Pérez Miranda (Víctor García Mingo) ⚽
82'
89'
🟨 Andres Cuenca
Aisar Ahmed 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
19
4
Yellow Cards
6
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Oviedo (4-2-3-1)
Aarón Escandell
David Jiménez
Dani Calvo
Carlos Domínguez
S. Rodriguez
Y. Didi
Dani Villahermosa
Pablo Sáenz
Mikel Goti
Jacobo González
Chris Ramos
Sp Gijon (4-4-2)
Rubén Yáñez
Guille Rosas
Aimar Duñabeitia
Pablo Vázquez
Andrés Cuenca
César Gelabert
M. Rodriguez
Álex Corredera
N. Iosifov
J. Otero
Antonio Casas
Player Ratings ?
Oviedo
Chris RamosF7.8
Mikel GotiM7.7
Enzo PerezF7.5
Sp Gijon
Rubén YáñezG6.9
Álex CorrederaM6.7
M. RodriguezM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oviedo edge defence, Sp Gijon edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sp Gijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sp Gijon slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sp Gijon stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sp Gijon have enjoyed a strong away run with four victories from their last five outings, while Oviedo have been more modest at home with two wins and two draws in that same span. Oviedo have managed to score in just two of their last five home matches but have kept three clean sheets in that period. Sp Gijon rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Oviedo rate stronger on defence. The most recent meeting, on 11 January 2025, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Oviedo
Oviedo's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Oviedo win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 46.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.1% → 46.3%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.9%
+0.7 pts
Sp Gijon win
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.7% → 23.8%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oviedo
Draw
Sp Gijon
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OviedoSp Gijon
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
1.67
0.83
Goals/Game
0.83
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.67
14.4
Shots/Game
11.0
4.1
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Oviedo at home (4 matches) vs Sp Gijon away (3 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
2.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.33
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oviedo
Home form
W
W
D
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sp Gijon
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oviedo Wins
0
Draws
3
Sp Gijon Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Oviedo1 – 1Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon3 – 1Oviedo
Sp Gijon1 – 0Oviedo
Oviedo0 – 0Sp Gijon
Sp Gijon1 – 1Oviedo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oviedovs
Sp Gijon
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 14 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.7%→Latest 40.5%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 46.3%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Oviedo's 10 matches and 4 of Sp Gijon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?