Tenerife vs Cadiz Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Heliodoro Rodríguez López
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.90
Draw
3.27
Away Win
4.80
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Tenerife
Cadiz
8'
🟨 Javier Castro
Enric Gallego ⚽
25'
74'
⚽ Vladyslav Kopotun (Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn)
86'
🟨 Marc-Olivier Doué
86'
🟨 Sergio Arribas Prieto
Dani Fernández 🟨
88'
90+2'
🟨 Álvaro García Pascual
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
2
15
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Tenerife (4-4-2)
Dani Martín
César Álvarez
A. Landázuri
José León
David Rodríguez
Gerard Valentín
Fabricio
Juanjo
M. Pečar
Enric Gallego
VÃctor Moreno
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
David Gil
J. Diaz Peregrina
Javi Castro
Manu Fernández
Sergio Arribas
M. Doué
Jandro Orellana
Borja Vazquez
Ibon Sánchez
Antonio Cordero
V. Kopotun
Player Ratings ?
Tenerife
Enric GallegoF8.0
José LeónD7.0
A. LandázuriD6.9
Cadiz
V. KopotunF7.9
Ibon SánchezM7.3
J. Diaz PeregrinaD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Tenerife
Tenerife rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Cadiz edge attack, giving Tenerife a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cadiz stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tenerife stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cadiz have drawn three and lost two in their last five away outings, while Tenerife have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five home matches. Tenerife have scored in just two of their last five home games but have kept three clean sheets during that same period. Tenerife rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Cadiz rate stronger on attack. Tenerife won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 23 March 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cadiz's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Tenerife's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points, while Cadiz's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Tenerife a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Tenerife
Tenerife's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Tenerife win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Tenerife win
Latest market chance 49.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
51.2% → 49.4%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.1% → 29.2%
+1.1 pts
Cadiz win
Latest market chance 21.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.7% → 21.4%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Tenerife
Draw
Cadiz
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TenerifeCadiz
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
19th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
0.50
1.17
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.1
Shots/Game
12.2
3.1
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Tenerife at home (5 matches) vs Cadiz away (4 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.75
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.60
Conceded/Game
1.75
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Tenerife
Home form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cadiz
Away form
D
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Tenerife Wins
2
Draws
2
Cadiz Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Tenerife2 – 1Cadiz
Cadiz2 – 2Tenerife
Cadiz0 – 2Tenerife
Tenerife1 – 1Cadiz
Cadiz2 – 0Tenerife
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Tenerifevs
Cadiz
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.50
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
6/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.9%→Latest 40.6%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 45.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Tenerife's 10 matches and 4 of Cadiz's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?