Valladolid vs Oviedo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.64
Draw
2.96
Away Win
3.16
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Valladolid
Oviedo
12'
🟨 Dani Calvo
Iván Alejo 🟨
23'
25'
⚽ Carlos Dominguez
Álvaro Aceves 🟨
27'
30'
🟨 Youness Lachhab Didi
53'
⚽ Dani Calvo
56'
⚽ Pablo Saenz (Enzo Pérez Miranda)
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
13
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Goal
6
2
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
7
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Valladolid (4-2-3-1)
Álvaro Aceves
Iván Alejo
Ramón Martínez
David Torres
Clerc
J. Ponceau
Álex Balboa
T. Abed
Luis Chacón
K. de Rooij
R. Duiven
Oviedo (4-2-3-1)
Aarón Escandell
Aisar
Dani Calvo
Carlos Domínguez
Juan Cruz
Y. Didi
Dani Villahermosa
Alberto Reina
Mikel Goti
Pablo Sáenz
A. Ișfan
Player Ratings ?
Valladolid
R. DuivenF6.8
Álvaro AcevesG6.7
David TorresD6.5
Oviedo
Carlos DomínguezD7.5
Pablo SáenzM7.4
Dani CalvoD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Valladolid edge head-to-head, Oviedo edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oviedo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oviedo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Valladolid stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oviedo arrive at this fixture in impressive away form, remaining unbeaten with three wins and two draws from their last five outings across seasons, while Valladolid have secured three victories but suffered a defeat in their last five home matches. Valladolid have found the net in three of their last five home matches, yet they have also kept four clean sheets during that same recent sample. Oviedo rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Valladolid rate stronger on head-to-head. Valladolid won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 23 February 2024, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Oviedo's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Valladolid
Valladolid's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Valladolid win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Valladolid win
Latest market chance 37.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.1% → 37.3%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 31.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.2% → 31.6%
+0.4 pts
Oviedo win
Latest market chance 31.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.7% → 31.1%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Valladolid
Draw
Oviedo
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ValladolidOviedo
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
15th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
1.25
0.50
Goals/Game
0.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.25
12.1
Shots/Game
14.4
4.4
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Valladolid at home (3 matches) vs Oviedo away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.20
1.33
Goals/Game
1.40
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.20
67%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Valladolid
Home form
D
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oviedo
Away form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Valladolid Wins
4
Draws
0
Oviedo Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Valladolid3 – 0Oviedo
Oviedo0 – 1Valladolid
Oviedo3 – 0Valladolid
Valladolid2 – 1Oviedo
Oviedo1 – 2Valladolid
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Valladolidvs
Oviedo
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.40
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 38.9%→Latest 37.9%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.8%→Latest 45.9%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Valladolid's 10 matches and 6 of Oviedo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?