Barcelona vs Santander Head to Head | La Liga

Match Report

Full Time

7 – 2

Match Events

Barcelona

Santander

J. Cancelo (Lamine Yamal) ⚽

22'

🟨 Pedro Felipe

Raphinha ⚽ (P)

25'

30'

⚽ M. Gueye (A. Villalibre)

A. Villalibre ⚽ (OG)

36'

Raphinha (D. Olmo) ⚽

42'

Lamine Yamal •

45'

Lamine Yamal 🟨

45+5'

Karim Adeyemi 🟨

60'

🟨 Yassir Zabiri

65'

⚽ Y. Zabiri

Raphinha ⚽ (P)

67'

João Cancelo 🟨

69'

Gabriel Jesus (Lamine Yamal) ⚽

79'

Lamine Yamal (K. Adeyemi) ⚽

89'

Match Statistics

69%

Ball Possession

31%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Barcelona (4-3-3)

J. Garcia

E. Garcia

A. Christensen

G. Martin

J. Cancelo

D. Olmo

Rodri

Pedri

Lamine Yamal

Raphinha

K. Adeyemi

Santander (4-1-3-2)

J. Agirrezabala

Manu Hernando

Pedro Felipe

F. Gonzalez

A. Martin

M. Prati

S. Canales

M. Gueye

I. Sainz-Maza

A. Villalibre

J. Arana

Player Ratings

Barcelona

RaphinhaF10.0

Lamine YamalF9.2

Dani OlmoM8.9

Santander

Yassir ZabiriF7.9

Maguette GueyeM7.2

Iñigo VicenteF6.9

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

Barcelona

Barcelona rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Barcelona a very strong edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Barcelona stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Barcelona stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Barcelona stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Barcelona stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Barcelona have secured five consecutive victories at home across their last five outings, while Santander have struggled away with only a single draw and four defeats in their recent five matches. The hosts have found the net in all of their last five home games, though they have kept three clean sheets during that same stretch. Both sides face similar availability challenges, with two players unavailable for each squad ahead of the fixture. Barcelona rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2012. Over the 9-day comparison window, Barcelona's implied win probability has risen by 4.5 percentage points, while Santander's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison points very strongly towards Barcelona.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Barcelona unbeaten run

Barcelona points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift towards Barcelona

Barcelona's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barcelona win as more likely than it did 9 days ago.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Barcelona win

Latest market chance 90.0%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

85.5% → 90.0%

+4.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 6.3%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

9.6% → 6.3%

−3.3 pts

Santander win

Latest market chance 3.7%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

4.9% → 3.7%

−1.2 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

10 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Barcelona

Draw

Santander

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Barcelona

Santander

Season Profile

This season

1st

League Position

10th

Games Played

3.00

Points/Game

1.40

4.20

Goals/Game

1.80

0.80

Conceded/Game

1.80

21.4

Shots/Game

10.3

8.3

Shots on Target

4.0

Home vs Away Context

Barcelona at home (3 matches) vs Santander away (4 matches)

3.00

Points/Game

0.00

4.67

Goals/Game

1.00

1.33

Conceded/Game

4.00

100%

Win Rate

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Barcelona

Home form

Won 5 straight at home

3 of these matches from last season.

2.6

Goals scored
per match

0.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

3/5

Clean
sheets

Santander

Away form

Lost 3 straight away

3 of these matches from last season.

0.8

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Barcelona Wins

Draws

Santander Wins

Avg Goals

3.0

2012-03-112011-2012

Santander0 – 2Barcelona

2011-10-152011-2012

Barcelona3 – 0Santander

2011-01-222010-2011

Barcelona3 – 0Santander

2010-08-292010-2011

Santander0 – 3Barcelona

2010-02-202009-2010

Barcelona4 – 0Santander

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Barcelona

Santander

Recent Scoring Profile

2.90

Goals scored / game

1.30

1.00

Goals conceded / game

2.00

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

5/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

1/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

93.6%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

85.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

71.1%

BTTSBoth teams score

53.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 79.6%→Latest 85.3%+5.7 pts

Strong move towards 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

8 common bookmakers · first comparable 9 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 52.3%→Latest 53.5%+1.2 pts

Slight move towards both teams scoring

An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 9 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

5 of Barcelona's 10 matches and 5 of Santander's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Barcelona vs Santander Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis