Betis vs Osasuna Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de La Cartuja
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.22
Away Win
5.15
Match Prediction
Data favours
Betis
Betis rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Betis an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Osasuna arrive with a poor run of form on their travels, having recorded just one victory in their last five away outings, while Betis have been impressive at home without dropping a point in their recent five matches. Betis have found the net in every one of their last five home matches, though they have only managed three clean sheets during that same period. Betis rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 23-day comparison window, Betis's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points, while Osasuna's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Betis.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Osasuna losing run
50%
Betis yellow cards after 75'
15
Betis points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Betis
No current absences reported
Osasuna
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Betis
Betis's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Betis win as less likely than it did 23 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Betis win
Latest market chance 57.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
60.9% → 57.0%
−3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.2% → 23.4%
+1.2 pts
Osasuna win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
17.0% → 19.6%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Betis
Draw
Osasuna
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 23 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BetisOsasuna
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
2.29
Points/Game
1.14
1.29
Goals/Game
0.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.86
17.4
Shots/Game
9.4
6.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Betis at home (3 matches) vs Osasuna away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
0.00
Conceded/Game
3.33
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Betis
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Osasuna
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Betis Wins
3
Draws
2
Osasuna Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Osasuna1 – 1Betis
Betis2 – 0Osasuna
Betis1 – 1Osasuna
Osasuna1 – 2Betis
Osasuna0 – 2Betis
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Betisvs
Osasuna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 53.9%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 54.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Betis's 10 matches and 3 of Osasuna's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?