Elche vs Sociedad Head to Head, Prediction
Mon 07 Sep 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.97
Draw
3.56
Away Win
2.41
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Elche
Sociedad
9'
🟨 Jon Aramburu
11'
⚽ Job Ochieng (Carlos Soler)
31'
⚽ Yangel Herrera (Job Ochieng)
Tete Morente 🟨
43'
Abiel Alessio Osorio 🟨
57'
64'
🟥 Jon Martin
Thomas Lemar (Víctor Chust) ⚽
67'
Germán Valera 🟨
68'
Fernando Niño Rodríguez (Tete Morente) ⚽
74'
90'
⚽ Luka Sučić (Job Ochieng)
Thomas Lemar 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
20
Total Shots
13
10
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Elche (3-5-2)
M. Dituro
Buba Sangaré
Víctor Chust
Bigas
Tete Morente
F. Buonanotte
J. Morcillo
Gonzalo Villar
Germán Valera
E. Ponce
Fer Niño
Sociedad (4-4-2)
Unai Marrero
J. Aramburu
Zubeldia
M. Sarr
Sergio Gómez
J. Ochieng
Y. Herrera
Carlos Soler
Gonçalo Guedes
L. Sučić
Mikel Oyarzabal
Player Ratings ?
Elche
Fer NiñoF8.2
T. LemarM7.2
L. CepedaF7.2
Sociedad
J. OchiengM8.9
L. SučićF8.2
Unai MarreroG8.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Elche edge recent form and defence, Sociedad edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Elche stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Elche stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Elche
Elche's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Elche win as less likely than it did 7 days ago. Sociedad remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Elche win
Latest market chance 32.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
33.9% → 32.1%
−1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 28.1%
+0.4 pts
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 39.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
38.5% → 39.9%
+1.4 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ElcheSociedad
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
14th
3
Games Played
4
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.3
Shots/Game
13.4
5.0
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Elche at home (3 matches) vs Sociedad away (4 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.33
Goals/Game
1.75
3.67
Conceded/Game
2.25
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Elche
Home form
W
W
D
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sociedad
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Elche Wins
0
Draws
1
Sociedad Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Sociedad3 – 1Elche
Elche1 – 1Sociedad
Sociedad2 – 0Elche
Elche0 – 1Sociedad
Elche1 – 2Sociedad
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Elchevs
Sociedad
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.7%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 57.5%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Elche's 10 matches and 6 of Sociedad's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?