Espanol vs Elche Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
RCDE Stadium
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.84
Draw
3.57
Away Win
4.71
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Espanol
Elche
6'
🟥 Federico Redondo Solari
22'
🟨 Fernando Niño Rodríguez
26'
⚽ Fernando Niño Rodríguez (Roy Revivo)
29'
⚽ Fernando Niño Rodríguez (Roy Revivo)
Eduardo Expósito Jaén 🟨
45+4'
Víctor Chust ⚽ (OG)
72'
78'
⚽ Germán Valera (Tete Morente)
Clemens Riedel 🟨
82'
90+1'
🟨 Lucas Cepeda
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
23
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
9
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Espanol (4-2-3-1)
M. Dmitrović
J. A. Lopez
Unai Núñez
L. Cabrera
Roger Hinojo
Edu Expósito
Urko González
Álex Calatrava
Javier Hernandez
Bryan Zaragoza
Roberto Fernández
Elche (4-3-3)
M. Dituro
Buba Sangaré
F. Redondo
Víctor Chust
R. Revivo
Gonzalo Villar
J. Morcillo
T. Lemar
L. Cepeda
Fer Niño
Germán Valera
Player Ratings ?
Espanol
Edu ExpósitoM7.2
Unai NúñezD6.9
Marcos FernándezF6.8
Elche
Fer NiñoF8.6
Germán ValeraF8.2
R. RevivoD8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Espanol
Espanol rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Espanol a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Espanol slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Elche arrive at Espanol's ground having recorded just three draws and two defeats in their last five outings away from home, while Espanol have secured two wins alongside two draws from their corresponding five home fixtures. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet only twice during that same span. Espanol face some selection headaches with two players unavailable and two others in doubt, whereas Elche have just one confirmed absence ahead of the fixture. Espanol rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Espanol's implied win probability has risen by 5.1 percentage points, while Elche's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Espanol a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Elche losing run
3
Elche points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Espanol
Espanol's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Espanol win as more likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Espanol win
Latest market chance 51.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
46.8% → 51.9%
+5.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.7% → 26.8%
−1.9 pts
Elche win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 21.3%
−3.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Espanol
Draw
Elche
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EspanolElche
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
20th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
0.33
1.50
Goals/Game
1.33
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.67
13.6
Shots/Game
11.3
3.9
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Espanol at home (4 matches) vs Elche away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.25
1.50
Goals/Game
1.75
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Espanol
Home form
W
D
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Elche
Away form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Espanol Wins
3
Draws
2
Elche Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Elche2 – 2Espanol
Espanol1 – 0Elche
Elche2 – 2Espanol
Espanol2 – 0Elche
Elche0 – 1Espanol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Espanolvs
Elche
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.5%→Latest 52.1%+6.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 54.4%+4.1 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Espanol's 10 matches and 4 of Elche's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?