Getafe vs Malaga Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.04
Draw
3.14
Away Win
4.44
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Getafe
Malaga
Johan Mojica 🟨
21'
39'
🟨 Eneko Jauregi
45+5'
🟨 David Larrubia
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
54'
Francho Serrano Gracia 🟨
58'
Ramón Terrats 🟨
68'
Iván Azón (Martin Satriano) ⚽
85'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
20
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
9
16
Fouls
16
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Getafe (4-5-1)
David Soria
Andrés García
D. Dakonam
Z. Romero
J. Mojica
Iván Azón
Ramón Terrats
N. Gudelj
Francho Serrano
M. Satriano
E. Ünal
Malaga (4-1-4-1)
Alfonso Herrero
Rafita
Ángel Recio
Juan Berrocal
José Salinas
Rafa Rodríguez
David Larrubia
Carlos Dotor
Dani Lorenzo
Joaquín Muñoz
Eneko Jauregi
Player Ratings ?
Getafe
Iván AzónM8.2
Z. RomeroD8.0
Andrés GarcíaD7.8
Malaga
Alfonso HerreroG7.7
Juan BerrocalD7.3
Ramón EnríquezM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Getafe
Getafe rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Getafe an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Getafe stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Getafe stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Getafe stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Getafe stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Malaga arrive at this La Liga fixture with a poor away record of just one draw and four losses from their last five outings, while Getafe boast an encouraging unbeaten run at home comprising three victories and two draws in the same sample. Getafe have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical span. Four Getafe players are unavailable for selection, whereas Malaga face a deeper challenge with five absentees and two additional doubts ahead of kickoff. Getafe rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. Over the 6-day comparison window, Getafe's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points, while Malaga's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Getafe.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Malaga points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Getafe
Getafe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Getafe win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Getafe win
Latest market chance 46.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
43.8% → 46.8%
+3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
31.3% → 30.2%
−1.1 pts
Malaga win
Latest market chance 22.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.9% → 22.9%
−2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Getafe
Draw
Malaga
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GetafeMalaga
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
20th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
0.50
0.50
Goals/Game
0.50
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.83
11.7
Shots/Game
10.0
2.7
Shots on Target
2.0
Home vs Away Context
Getafe at home (4 matches) vs Malaga away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.25
1.00
Goals/Game
0.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Getafe
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Malaga
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Getafe Wins
3
Draws
0
Malaga Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Malaga0 – 1Getafe
Getafe1 – 0Malaga
Malaga3 – 0Getafe
Getafe1 – 0Malaga
Malaga3 – 2Getafe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Getafevs
Malaga
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded / game
2.10
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 34.8%→Latest 36.6%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.1%→Latest 43.0%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Getafe's 10 matches and 4 of Malaga's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?