La Coruna vs Sevilla Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de Riazor
Wed 16 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.62
Draw
3.02
Away Win
3.13
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
La Coruna
Sevilla
52'
⚽ M. Sierra
Angeliño 🟥
59'
65'
🟨 Kike Salas
Lorenzo Amatucci 🟨
77'
79'
🟨 Jon Guridi
90+6'
🟨 Juan Iglesias
90+4'
🟨 Isaac Romero
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
4
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
La Coruna (4-4-2)
L. Roman
A. Altimira
J. Gimenez
M. Loureiro
Angelino
Cruz Luismi
R. Rodriguez
L. Amatucci
Y. Hernandez
B. Nsongo
P. Aubameyang
Sevilla (4-2-3-1)
O. Vlachodimos
J. Iglesias
Castrin
K. Salas
G. Suazo
L. Agoume
Y. Fofana
M. Sierra
J. Guridi
F. Correia
L. Stassin
Player Ratings ?
La Coruna
Leo RománG7.8
Miguel LoureiroD7.4
Mario SorianoM7.0
Sevilla
M. SierraM8.2
L. AgouméM7.2
O. VlachodimosG7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sevilla edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sevilla stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
La Coruna have recorded one win and two draws from their last five home outings, while Sevilla have managed two wins and a draw in their last five away fixtures. At home, La Coruna have scored in four of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. La Coruna face a single doubtful availability concern, whereas Sevilla carry two confirmed absences ahead of this La Liga encounter. Sevilla rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. The market has remained broadly steady over the 9-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 9 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
La Coruna win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.0% → 37.4%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 30.8%
+0.6 pts
Sevilla win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.7% → 31.8%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
La Coruna
Draw
Sevilla
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
La CorunaSevilla
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
6th
5
Games Played
5
1.80
Points/Game
2.00
1.80
Goals/Game
1.60
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.20
10.1
Shots/Game
11.0
3.9
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
La Coruna at home (4 matches) vs Sevilla away (3 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
2.33
1.25
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
25%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
La Coruna
Home form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sevilla
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
La Coruna Wins
0
Draws
2
Sevilla Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
La Coruna0 – 0Sevilla
Sevilla2 – 0La Coruna
Sevilla4 – 2La Coruna
La Coruna2 – 3Sevilla
Sevilla1 – 1La Coruna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
La Corunavs
Sevilla
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.8%→Latest 41.9%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 49.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of La Coruna's 10 matches and 5 of Sevilla's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?