Levante vs Ath Bilbao Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.44
Draw
3.51
Away Win
2.21
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Levante edge recent form and attack, Ath Bilbao edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Levante stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ath Bilbao stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Levante enjoy a strong record at home with four wins from their last five outings, while Ath Bilbao have recorded two victories in their last five away matches. At home, Levante have scored in five of their last five matches and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Levante face three confirmed absences with no doubts, whereas Ath Bilbao have two confirmed out players alongside two others in doubt. Levante rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Ath Bilbao rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Ath Bilbao won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 8 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Levante's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Ath Bilbao's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Levante
No current absences reported
Ath Bilbao
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ath Bilbao win as more likely than it did 44 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Levante win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
30.4% → 28.5%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.3%
−0.6 pts
Ath Bilbao win
Latest market chance 44.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
41.7% → 44.2%
+2.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
13 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Levante
Draw
Ath Bilbao
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 44 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Levante
Ath Bilbao
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.17
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.7
Shots/Game
15.7
3.7
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Levante at home (2 matches) vs Ath Bilbao away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
3.50
Goals/Game
1.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Levante
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Levante Wins
0
Draws
2
Ath Bilbao Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-02-082025-2026
Ath Bilbao4 – 2Levante
2025-11-292025-2026
Levante0 – 2Ath Bilbao
2022-03-072021-2022
Ath Bilbao3 – 1Levante
2021-11-192021-2022
Levante0 – 0Ath Bilbao
2021-02-262020-2021
Levante1 – 1Ath Bilbao
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Levante
vs
Ath Bilbao
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
34.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 54.8%+4.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 44 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.8%→Latest 58.3%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 44 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Levante's 10 matches and 4 of Ath Bilbao's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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