Levante vs Barcelona Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
15.31
Draw
9.61
Away Win
1.15
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 4
Match Events ?
Levante
Barcelona
5'
⚽ Xavi Espart (Raphael Dias Belloli)
19'
⚽ Lamine Yamal (Raphael Dias Belloli)
45+1'
🟨 Gerard Martín
Hugo Sotelo 🟨
45+5'
48'
⚽ (P) Lamine Yamal
Iván Romero ⚽
79'
Roger Brugué ⚽
88'
90+3'
⚽ Karim Adeyemi (Marc Bernal)
Match Statistics ?
25%
Ball Possession
75%
13
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Levante (4-4-2)
M. Ryan
J. Toljan
Dela
A. Mandi
Manu Sánchez
Reque
Hugo Sotelo
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Brugui
P. Ratkov
Víctor García
Barcelona (4-3-3)
Joan García
Eric García
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Gerard Martín
X. Espart
Fermín
Rodri
Pedri
Lamine Yamal
Raphinha
A. Gordon
Player Ratings ?
Levante
BruguiM7.4
Iván RomeroF7.2
A. MandiD6.7
Barcelona
RaphinhaF8.4
Lamine YamalF8.2
K. AdeyemiF7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barcelona
Barcelona rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Barcelona an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Levante arrive with an impressive unbeaten record at home from their last five outings, while Barcelona have struggled away with just three wins in the same number of matches. The hosts have scored in each of their last five games but have only managed three clean sheets in that identical run. Both squads carry two players out of contention for the upcoming fixture, meaning neither side can claim a fully intact squad. Barcelona rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Barcelona won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 22 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Levante's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Levante's implied win probability has fallen by 6.0 percentage points, while Barcelona's implied win probability has risen by 12.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Barcelona.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Barcelona unbeaten run
15
Levante points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barcelona
Barcelona's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barcelona win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Levante win
Latest market chance 6.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
12.4% → 6.4%
−6.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
18.3% → 11.7%
−6.6 pts
Barcelona win
Latest market chance 81.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
69.3% → 81.9%
+12.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Levante
Draw
Barcelona
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LevanteBarcelona
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
1st
4
Games Played
4
1.25
Points/Game
3.00
1.25
Goals/Game
4.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
0.50
10.7
Shots/Game
21.4
3.7
Shots on Target
8.3
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Levante at home (2 matches) vs Barcelona away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
3.50
Goals/Game
4.25
3.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Levante
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barcelona
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Levante Wins
0
Draws
1
Barcelona Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.4
Barcelona3 – 0Levante
Levante2 – 3Barcelona
Levante2 – 3Barcelona
Barcelona3 – 0Levante
Levante3 – 3Barcelona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Levantevs
Barcelona
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 75.5%+10.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 54.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Levante's 10 matches and 6 of Barcelona's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?