Osasuna vs Espanol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio El Sadar
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.23
Draw
3.29
Away Win
3.56
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Osasuna
Espanol
3'
⚽ Roberto Fernández Jaén (Marcos Fernández)
17'
⚽ Roberto Fernández Jaén (Omar El Hilali)
Enrique Barja Alfonso 🟨
30'
Jon Moncayola 🟨
39'
40'
🟨 Clemens Riedel
45'
🟨 Omar El Hilali
87'
🟨 Roger Hinojo
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
11
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
24
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Osasuna (4-2-3-1)
Sergio Herrera
Íñigo Arguibide
Catena
R. Yeboah
Diego Rico
Moncayola
Iker Muñoz
Rubén García
Raúl García
Kike Barja
A. Budimir
Espanol (4-2-3-1)
M. Dmitrović
O. El Hilali
C. Riedel
L. Cabrera
Roger Hinojo
Edu Expósito
Urko González
Marcos Fernández
Javier Hernandez
T. Dolan
Roberto Fernández
Player Ratings ?
Osasuna
R. YeboahD7.1
Abel BretonesD7.0
Raul MoroF6.8
Espanol
Roberto FernándezF8.8
M. DmitrovićG7.5
Marcos FernándezM7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Osasuna edge defence, Espanol edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Espanol slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Osasuna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Espanol stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Espanol have recorded just a solitary away victory in their last five outings, while Osasuna find themselves with only one win and a draw from their corresponding home sample of five matches. At home, Osasuna have found the net in four of their last five contests yet have managed just two clean sheets during that same recent period. Espanol rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Osasuna hold a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Espanol won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Osasuna's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Osasuna's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Espanol's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
60%
Osasuna yellow cards after 75'
3
Espanol points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Osasuna
Osasuna's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Osasuna win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Osasuna win
Latest market chance 44.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.7% → 44.1%
−4.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 29.6%
+2.2 pts
Espanol win
Latest market chance 26.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.9% → 26.3%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Osasuna
Draw
Espanol
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OsasunaEspanol
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
12th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
9.4
Shots/Game
13.6
3.9
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Osasuna at home (4 matches) vs Espanol away (3 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.33
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.33
25%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Osasuna
Home form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Espanol
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Osasuna Wins
1
Draws
2
Espanol Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
Osasuna1 – 2Espanol
Espanol1 – 0Osasuna
Osasuna2 – 0Espanol
Espanol0 – 0Osasuna
Espanol1 – 1Osasuna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Osasunavs
Espanol
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.6%→Latest 43.1%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.3%→Latest 48.6%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Osasuna's 10 matches and 6 of Espanol's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?