Sevilla vs Barcelona Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
12.89
Draw
7.03
Away Win
1.22
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Sevilla
Barcelona
Youssouf Fofana (Felix Correia) ⚽
19'
22'
⚽ Raphael Dias Belloli (Andreas Christensen)
52'
⚽ Raphael Dias Belloli (Lamine Yamal)
69'
⚽ Raphael Dias Belloli (Lamine Yamal)
Lucien Agoumé 🟨
80'
Match Statistics ?
30%
Ball Possession
70%
7
Total Shots
24
3
Shots on Goal
7
1
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sevilla (4-2-3-1)
O. Vlachodimos
Juan Iglesias
A. Sangante
Andrés Castrín
G. Suazo
G. Kochorashvili
L. Agoumé
M. Sierra
Y. Fofana
Félix Correia
R. Ure
Barcelona (4-3-3)
D. Livaković
Eric García
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
A. Christensen
João Cancelo
Fermín
Rodri
Pedri
Lamine Yamal
Raphinha
A. Gordon
Player Ratings ?
Sevilla
Y. FofanaM7.1
Juan IglesiasD6.8
Félix CorreiaM6.7
Barcelona
RaphinhaF9.6
Lamine YamalF8.6
D. LivakovićG7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barcelona
Barcelona rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Barcelona a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barcelona stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Barcelona have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, while Sevilla have also secured three victories in their last five home matches. At home, the hosts have scored in four of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Both squads face minor availability concerns ahead of kickoff, with two players unavailable for Sevilla and three missing from the Barcelona roster. Barcelona rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Barcelona won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 15 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Sevilla's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Sevilla's implied win probability has fallen by 3.6 percentage points, while Barcelona's implied win probability has risen by 8.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Barcelona a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Barcelona unbeaten run
47%
Sevilla yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barcelona
Barcelona's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barcelona win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sevilla win
Latest market chance 7.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
11.4% → 7.8%
−3.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 13.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
18.4% → 13.5%
−4.9 pts
Barcelona win
Latest market chance 78.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
70.2% → 78.8%
+8.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sevilla
Draw
Barcelona
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SevillaBarcelona
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
1st
6
Games Played
6
2.17
Points/Game
3.00
1.50
Goals/Game
4.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.0
Shots/Game
21.4
4.1
Shots on Target
8.3
Home vs Away Context
Sevilla at home (4 matches) vs Barcelona away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
1.25
Goals/Game
4.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sevilla
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barcelona
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sevilla Wins
1
Draws
0
Barcelona Wins
4
Avg Goals
5.2
Barcelona5 – 2Sevilla
Sevilla4 – 1Barcelona
Sevilla1 – 4Barcelona
Barcelona5 – 1Sevilla
Sevilla1 – 2Barcelona
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sevillavs
Barcelona
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
3.40
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.8%→Latest 75.0%+7.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 57.8%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Sevilla's 10 matches and 4 of Barcelona's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?