Sociedad vs Ath Madrid Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Anoeta
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.02
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.37
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Sociedad
Ath Madrid
Yangel Herrera 🟨
18'
Pellegrino Matarazzo 🟨
72'
75'
🟨 Johnny Cardoso
Mikel Oyarzabal 🟨
78'
84'
⚽ (P) Alejandro Grimaldo
90'
⚽ Jonathan David (Alejandro Grimaldo)
90+5'
⚽ Giuliano Simeone Baldini (Dávid Hancko)
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
5
9
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sociedad (4-2-3-1)
Álex Remiro
J. Aramburu
Luken Beitia
M. Sarr
Sergio Gómez
Y. Herrera
Carlos Soler
Barrenetxea
L. Sučić
Gonçalo Guedes
Mikel Oyarzabal
Ath Madrid (3-4-2-1)
J. Oblak
Marc Pubill
C. Romero
D. Hancko
G. Simeone
Marcos Llorente
M. Hjulmand
Álex Grimaldo
Lee Kang-In
Álex Baena
A. Lookman
Player Ratings ?
Sociedad
Luken BeitiaD6.9
M. SarrD6.8
J. AramburuD6.7
Ath Madrid
J. DavidF7.8
C. RomeroD7.8
Álex GrimaldoM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ath Madrid edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ath Madrid stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ath Madrid stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ath Madrid have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Sociedad have managed just a single win in their corresponding home fixture sample. At home, Sociedad have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Sociedad face two confirmed absences ahead of the game, whereas Ath Madrid will be without one player and have another listed as doubtful. Ath Madrid rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Ath Madrid won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 7 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Sociedad's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 10-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 10 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.8% → 30.3%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.8%
+0.4 pts
Ath Madrid win
Latest market chance 43.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.9% → 43.0%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad
Draw
Ath Madrid
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SociedadAth Madrid
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
9th
5
Games Played
4
1.40
Points/Game
1.75
1.20
Goals/Game
1.75
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.4
Shots/Game
17.0
5.1
Shots on Target
6.4
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad at home (3 matches) vs Ath Madrid away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.00
0.67
Goals/Game
2.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad
Home form
L
D
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ath Madrid
Away form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad Wins
0
Draws
2
Ath Madrid Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Ath Madrid3 – 2Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 1Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid4 – 0Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 1Ath Madrid
Sociedad0 – 2Ath Madrid
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedadvs
Ath Madrid
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 57.9%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 61.4%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Sociedad's 10 matches and 6 of Ath Madrid's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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