Sociedad vs La Coruna Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Anoeta
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.72
Draw
3.91
Away Win
4.85
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sociedad edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, La Coruna edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sociedad slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sociedad slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
La Coruna slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sociedad stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
La Coruna have secured just one win from their last five away outings across various campaigns, while Sociedad have managed a solitary victory in their corresponding home sample of the same size. At home, Sociedad have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only kept a clean sheet once during that identical recent period. Sociedad rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while La Coruna hold a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. Over the 23-day comparison window, Sociedad's implied win probability has risen by 7.5 percentage points, while La Coruna's implied win probability has fallen by 4.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Sociedad
No current absences reported
La Coruna
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Sociedad
Sociedad's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sociedad win as more likely than it did 23 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sociedad win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
47.2% → 54.7%
+7.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
28.6% → 25.1%
−3.5 pts
La Coruna win
Latest market chance 20.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.2% → 20.2%
−4.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sociedad
Draw
La Coruna
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 23 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SociedadLa Coruna
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
7th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
1.43
1.29
Goals/Game
1.43
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.14
13.4
Shots/Game
10.1
5.1
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Sociedad at home (3 matches) vs La Coruna away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.67
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sociedad
Home form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
La Coruna
Away form
D
L
D
W
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sociedad Wins
3
Draws
1
La Coruna Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.0
Sociedad5 – 0La Coruna
La Coruna2 – 4Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 0La Coruna
La Coruna5 – 1Sociedad
Sociedad1 – 1La Coruna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sociedadvs
La Coruna
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.0%→Latest 52.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 53.9%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Sociedad's 10 matches and 3 of La Coruna's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?