Vallecano vs Santander Head to Head, Prediction
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.26
Draw
3.49
Away Win
3.27
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Vallecano
Santander
Jorge de Frutos 🟥
-5'
Óscar Valentín 🟨
2'
4'
⚽ S. Canales
A. Ratiu (S. Camello) ⚽
17'
25'
🟨 Yassir Zabiri
28'
⚽ P. Garcia
35'
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
Sergio Camello 🟨
39'
S. Camello (U. Lopez) ⚽
43'
S. Camello (U. Lopez) ⚽
47'
Florian Lejeune 🟨
66'
Fran Pérez 🟥
85'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
16
Total Shots
9
10
Shots on Goal
4
9
Corner Kicks
6
15
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Vallecano (4-3-3)
D. Cardenas
A. Ratiu
F. Lejeune
P. Ciss
A. Pedrosa
U. Lopez
O. Valentin
P. Diaz
J. de Frutos
S. Camello
A. Garcia
Santander (4-2-3-1)
J. Agirrezabala
A. Mantilla
Manu Hernando
F. Gonzalez
J. Salinas
I. Martin
M. Prati
P. Garcia
S. Canales
I. Vicente
Y. Zabiri
Player Ratings ?
Vallecano
Sergio CamelloF9.5
Andrei RațiuD7.5
Pathé Ismaël CissD7.2
Santander
Pablo GarcíaM7.6
Sergio CanalesM7.6
Jeanuël BelocianD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Vallecano
Vallecano rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Vallecano an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vallecano stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vallecano win
Latest market chance 42.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.8% → 42.1%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 28.3%
+0.6 pts
Santander win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.5% → 29.6%
+0.1 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VallecanoSantander
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
0.33
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.67
2.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
13.4
Shots/Game
10.3
4.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Vallecano at home (3 matches) vs Santander away (4 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
4.00
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vallecano
Home form
W
D
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Santander
Away form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vallecano Wins
3
Draws
1
Santander Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Santander1 – 2Vallecano
Vallecano2 – 0Santander
Vallecano4 – 2Santander
Santander1 – 1Vallecano
Santander2 – 0Vallecano
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vallecanovs
Santander
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.2%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 57.1%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Vallecano's 10 matches and 7 of Santander's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?