Villarreal vs Betis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio de la Ceramica
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.95
Draw
3.94
Away Win
3.72
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Villarreal
Betis
Gerard Moreno (Renato Veiga) ⚽
29'
39'
⚽ Cucho Hernández
43'
⚽ Natan Bernardo de Souza
Renato Veiga 🟨
84'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
26
8
Shots on Goal
12
7
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
10
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Villarreal (4-4-2)
P. Gulácsi
S. Mouriño
Pau Navarro
Renato Veiga
Carlos Romero
N. Pépé
P. Gueye
Santi Comesaña
T. Buchanan
Gerard Moreno
G. Mikautadze
Betis (4-2-3-1)
Álvaro Vallés
Héctor Bellerín
Marc Bartra
Natan
Fran García
Pablo Fornals
Marc Roca
Rodrigo Riquelme
Isco
A. Ezzalzouli
C. Hernández
Player Ratings ?
Villarreal
P. GulácsiG8.8
Gerard MorenoF8.2
Renato VeigaD7.1
Betis
Álvaro VallésG8.5
C. HernándezF7.8
NatanD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Villarreal edge attack and defence, Betis edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Villarreal slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Betis stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Villarreal have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Betis have recorded two wins and a draw in their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. Villarreal have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Two players for Villarreal are currently listed as doubtful, whereas Betis face the absence of one individual ahead of this La Liga encounter. Betis rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Villarreal rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in defence. Betis won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Villarreal's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 10-day comparison window, Villarreal's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Betis's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
67%
Villarreal yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Betis
Betis's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Betis win as more likely than it did 10 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Villarreal remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Villarreal win
Latest market chance 49.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
50.5% → 49.6%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 24.6%
−0.4 pts
Betis win
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.6% → 25.8%
+1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Villarreal
Draw
Betis
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 10 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VillarrealBetis
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
7th
4
Games Played
4
0.50
Points/Game
2.25
1.50
Goals/Game
1.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
16.0
Shots/Game
17.4
6.6
Shots on Target
6.4
Home vs Away Context
Villarreal at home (3 matches) vs Betis away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.75
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Villarreal
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Betis
Away form
W
D
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Villarreal Wins
2
Draws
1
Betis Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.4
Betis2 – 0Villarreal
Villarreal2 – 2Betis
Betis1 – 2Villarreal
Villarreal1 – 2Betis
Betis2 – 3Villarreal
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Villarrealvs
Betis
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 60.2%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 61.4%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Villarreal's 10 matches and 6 of Betis's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?