Villarreal vs La Coruna Head to Head, Prediction
Estadio de la Ceramica
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.50
Draw
4.76
Away Win
6.21
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Villarreal
La Coruna
N. Pepe (A. Perez) ⚽
19'
43'
⚽ Cruz Luismi (P. Aubameyang)
A. Traore ⚽ (OG)
76'
79'
⚽ Z. Eddahchouri (P. Aubameyang)
Santi Comesaña 🟨
81'
Tajon Buchanan 🟨
87'
88'
⚽ P. Aubameyang
90+3'
🟨 Yeremay Hernández
90+1'
🟨 Lorenzo Amatucci
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
1
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Villarreal (4-4-2)
Luiz Junior
A. Freeman
L. Costa
R. Veiga
S. Cardona
N. Pepe
N. Saliba
P. Gueye
A. Moleiro
G. Moreno
A. Perez
La Coruna (4-4-2)
L. Roman
X. Navarro
L. Noubi
J. Gimenez
G. Quagliata
Cruz Luismi
M. Soriano
L. Amatucci
R. Rodriguez
B. Nsongo
P. Aubameyang
Player Ratings ?
Villarreal
Nicolas PépéM7.9
Nathan-Dylan SalibaM7.6
Alberto MoleiroM7.5
La Coruna
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangF9.2
Luismi CruzM7.6
José María GiménezD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Villarreal edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Villarreal slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Villarreal slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Villarreal stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Villarreal
Villarreal's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Villarreal win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Villarreal win
Latest market chance 63.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
61.4% → 63.8%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.7% → 21.2%
−1.5 pts
La Coruna win
Latest market chance 15.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
15.9% → 15.0%
−0.9 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VillarrealLa Coruna
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
8th
3
Games Played
3
0.67
Points/Game
1.67
1.33
Goals/Game
1.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.0
Shots/Game
10.1
6.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Villarreal at home (3 matches) vs La Coruna away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Villarreal
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
3.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
La Coruna
Away form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Villarreal Wins
1
Draws
3
La Coruna Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
La Coruna2 – 4Villarreal
Villarreal1 – 1La Coruna
Villarreal0 – 0La Coruna
La Coruna0 – 0Villarreal
Villarreal0 – 2La Coruna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Villarrealvs
La Coruna
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 55.4%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 50.8%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Villarreal's 10 matches and 7 of La Coruna's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?