AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.65
Draw
3.52
Away Win
2.62
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
Jayden Stockley 🟨
27'
31'
🟨 Leon Ayinde
Myles Hippolyte ⚽
43'
76'
🟨 Owen Bailey
Myles Hippolyte 🟨
84'
90+4'
🟨 Tommy Simkim
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
11
Total Shots
22
3
Shots on Goal
9
6
Corner Kicks
6
15
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
9
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
AFC Wimbledon (4-2-3-1)
J. Bursik
I. Ogundere
F. Simmonds
R. Johnson
S. Seddon
O. Harrison
A. Smith
A. Sasu
C. Maycock
M. Hippolyte
J. Stockley
Doncaster (3-4-3)
Tommy Simkin
N. Byrne
M. Pearson
J. Husband
G. Broadbent
O. Bailey
R. Gotts
J. Senior
L. Ayinde
A. May
B. Hanlan
Player Ratings ?
AFC Wimbledon
J. BursikG9.4
M. HippolyteM7.3
A. SasuM7.2
Doncaster
R. GottsM7.0
Tommy SimkinG6.9
N. ByrneD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Doncaster edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Doncaster slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Doncaster stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Doncaster slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Doncaster have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while AFC Wimbledon have managed just one win and one draw in that same span at home. AFC Wimbledon have scored in two of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that period. Doncaster rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Doncaster won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to AFC Wimbledon's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
AFC Wimbledon win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.7% → 35.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 28.2%
−0.3 pts
Doncaster win
Latest market chance 36.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.8% → 36.1%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Doncaster
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AFC WimbledonDoncaster
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
22nd
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
0.60
0.80
Goals/Game
1.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.60
10.5
Shots/Game
13.6
2.6
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
AFC Wimbledon at home (4 matches) vs Doncaster away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.25
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Doncaster
Away form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
AFC Wimbledon Wins
2
Draws
1
Doncaster Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
AFC Wimbledon0 – 1Doncaster
Doncaster1 – 2AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster1 – 1AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon1 – 0Doncaster
Doncaster1 – 0AFC Wimbledon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
AFC Wimbledonvs
Doncaster
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.5%→Latest 48.7%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.3%→Latest 54.5%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of AFC Wimbledon's 10 matches and 5 of Doncaster's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?