Barnsley vs Stevenage Head to Head, Prediction
Oakwell
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.12
Draw
3.45
Away Win
3.52
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 5
Match Events ?
Barnsley
Stevenage
16'
🟨 Carl Piergianni
C. McGeehan ⚽ (P)
17'
43'
⚽ O. Sanderson
52'
⚽ D. Kemp
57'
⚽ T. Vancooten (D. Kemp)
66'
⚽ D. Kemp (J. Roberts)
Patrick Kelly 🟨
85'
86'
🟨 Saxon Earley
90'
⚽ M. Mellon (S. Earley)
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
17
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
3
18
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Barnsley (4-2-3-1)
R. Ravenhill
A. Kay
C. O'Riordan
S. Gale
Z. Larkeche
J. Bland
C. McGeehan
T. Noslin
P. Kelly
R. Cleary
M. Kirk
Stevenage
T. Setford
L. James-Wildin
T. Vancooten
C. Piergianni
L. Freestone
O. Sanderson
T. Taylor
D. Phillips
J. Roberts
D. Kemp
J. Magennis
Player Ratings ?
Barnsley
Cameron McGeehanM7.2
Ziyad LarkecheD6.6
Luca ConnellM6.5
Stevenage
Daniel KempF9.9
Terence VancootenD8.6
Luther James-WildinD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Barnsley edge attack, Stevenage edge recent form and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stevenage slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnsley stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barnsley
Barnsley's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barnsley win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barnsley win
Latest market chance 44.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.6% → 44.6%
+7.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.8% → 27.7%
−1.1 pts
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 27.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.6% → 27.7%
−5.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barnsley
Draw
Stevenage
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarnsleyStevenage
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
21st
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
0.75
1.25
Goals/Game
1.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
17.0
Shots/Game
10.6
4.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Barnsley at home (4 matches) vs Stevenage away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.25
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barnsley
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stevenage
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barnsley Wins
1
Draws
0
Stevenage Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Stevenage1 – 0Barnsley
Barnsley3 – 1Stevenage
Barnsley0 – 1Stevenage
Stevenage3 – 0Barnsley
Stevenage2 – 1Barnsley
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barnsleyvs
Stevenage
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.7%→Latest 48.8%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 53.3%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Barnsley's 10 matches and 6 of Stevenage's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?