Blackpool vs Plymouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Bloomfield Road
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.68
Draw
3.89
Away Win
2.41
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 4
Match Events ?
Blackpool
Plymouth
Jordan Brown (Zachary Ashworth) ⚽
30'
36'
⚽ Oliver Irow
Jerry Yates 🟨
38'
Jordan Williams 🟨
47'
52'
⚽ Oliver Irow
57'
⚽ Harvey White
Jerry Yates (Josh Bowler) ⚽
70'
Karoy Anderson 🟨
71'
89'
⚽ Aribim Pepple (Ronan Curtis)
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
24
4
Shots on Goal
9
3
Corner Kicks
8
15
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Blackpool (4-1-3-2)
B. Peacock-Farrell
J. Williams
O. Casey
J. Earl
Z. Ashworth
J. Brown
J. Bowler
Karoy Anderson
A. Morgan
T. Bloxham
J. Yates
Plymouth (4-2-3-1)
M. Mahoney
W. Harding
A. Mitchell
Julio Pleguezuelo
M. Sorinola
T. Bakinson
H. White
R. Curtis
W. Evans
O. Irow
A. Pepple
Player Ratings ?
Blackpool
J. YatesF7.3
J. BrownM7.1
T. BloxhamF6.5
Plymouth
H. WhiteM8.1
O. IrowM8.1
A. PeppleF7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Plymouth edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Plymouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Blackpool have enjoyed a solid run at home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Plymouth arrive after a mixed away record featuring two victories alongside two draws and a single defeat in the same span. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet only twice during that identical period. Plymouth rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack and defence are closely matched. Plymouth won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 14 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Blackpool's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Blackpool win
Latest market chance 35.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.2% → 35.6%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.3%
±0.0 pts
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.5% → 39.0%
+0.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Blackpool
Draw
Plymouth
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Blackpool
Plymouth
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
1.67
1.83
Goals/Game
1.67
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
14.4
Shots/Game
15.0
4.9
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Blackpool at home (4 matches) vs Plymouth away (5 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
2.00
2.25
Goals/Game
2.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.40
25%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Blackpool
Home form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Plymouth
Away form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Blackpool Wins
0
Draws
2
Plymouth Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
2026-02-142025-2026
Blackpool0 – 4Plymouth
2025-08-232025-2026
Plymouth1 – 0Blackpool
2021-03-272020-2021
Blackpool2 – 2Plymouth
2020-09-122020-2021
Plymouth1 – 0Blackpool
2019-03-302018-2019
Blackpool2 – 2Plymouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Blackpool
vs
Plymouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
37.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 58.1%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19
8 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.3%→Latest 61.0%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Blackpool's 10 matches and 4 of Plymouth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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