Burton vs Cambridge Head to Head, Prediction
Pirelli Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.74
Draw
3.41
Away Win
2.59
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Burton
Cambridge
16'
🟨 Dominic Ball
F. Delap ⚽
19'
Sulyman Krubally 🟨
31'
43'
⚽ G. Ahadme (O. Moxon)
65'
⚽ G. Ahadme (Z. Bradshaw)
90+2'
🟨 Callum Perry
C. Tilt (K. Lofthouse) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
7
12
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Burton (3-4-2-1)
C. Addai
T. Sibbick
F. Delap
C. Tilt
K. Lofthouse
S. Krubally
K. Chauke
J. Armer
C. Vickers
C. Webster
R. Borges Rodrigues
Cambridge (3-4-2-1)
J. Eastwood
C. Heffernan
K. Watts
C. Perry
L. Bennett
D. Ball
O. Moxon
Z. Bradshaw
B. Knight
I. Heath
G. Ahadme
Player Ratings ?
Burton
Charlie WebsterF7.7
Curtis TiltD7.6
Finn DelapD7.5
Cambridge
Gassan AhadmeF8.2
Owen MoxonM7.2
Callum PerryD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Burton edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Burton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Burton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Burton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Burton stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Burton
Burton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Burton win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Cambridge remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Burton win
Latest market chance 34.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.5% → 34.5%
−4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.4% → 28.7%
+0.3 pts
Cambridge win
Latest market chance 36.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.1% → 36.8%
+3.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Burton
Draw
Cambridge
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BurtonCambridge
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.75
2.00
Goals/Game
1.75
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
9.0
Shots/Game
12.4
3.0
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Burton at home (5 matches) vs Cambridge away (4 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.25
20%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Burton
Home form
D
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cambridge
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Burton Wins
3
Draws
1
Cambridge Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Burton2 – 1Cambridge
Cambridge1 – 0Burton
Cambridge0 – 0Burton
Burton2 – 1Cambridge
Burton1 – 0Cambridge
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Burtonvs
Cambridge
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.6%→Latest 45.5%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 51.8%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Burton's 10 matches and 6 of Cambridge's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?