Cambridge vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Abbey Stadium
Sat 26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.64
Away Win
4.42
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Cambridge
AFC Wimbledon
30'
⚽ Jayden Stockley (Andy Yiadom)
52'
🟨 Andy Yiadom
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu 🟨
59'
Kelland Watts 🟨
62'
Zak·Bradshaw (Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu) ⚽
90+1'
90+5'
🟨 Steve Seddon
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
18
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
1
8
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Cambridge (3-4-2-1)
J. Eastwood
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
K. Watts
Z. Bradshaw
O. Moxon
D. Ball
P. Mpanzu
Isaac Heath
B. Knight
G. McConnell
G. Yahyai
AFC Wimbledon (5-4-1)
J. Bursik
A. Yiadom
I. Ogundere
D. Sweeney
S. Seddon
A. Sasu
D. Richards
O. Harrison
A. Smith
C. Maycock
J. Stockley
Player Ratings ?
Cambridge
B. KnightM7.2
Z. BradshawD6.8
L. AppéréF6.6
AFC Wimbledon
J. StockleyF7.7
A. SmithM7.1
A. SasuD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cambridge edge attack and head-to-head, AFC Wimbledon edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AFC Wimbledon stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cambridge stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cambridge stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
AFC Wimbledon have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Cambridge have also managed two victories in their last five home fixtures. Cambridge have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. AFC Wimbledon rate stronger on form, while Cambridge rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Cambridge won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 26 March 2022, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to AFC Wimbledon's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Cambridge's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points, while AFC Wimbledon's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Cambridge
Cambridge's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Cambridge win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cambridge win
Latest market chance 51.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.1% → 51.8%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.5%
−0.2 pts
AFC Wimbledon win
Latest market chance 21.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.2% → 21.7%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cambridge
Draw
AFC Wimbledon
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CambridgeAFC Wimbledon
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
7th
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
1.57
1.71
Goals/Game
0.71
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.4
Shots/Game
10.5
4.1
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Cambridge at home (4 matches) vs AFC Wimbledon away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cambridge
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
AFC Wimbledon
Away form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cambridge Wins
3
Draws
1
AFC Wimbledon Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
AFC Wimbledon0 – 1Cambridge
Cambridge1 – 0AFC Wimbledon
Cambridge1 – 4AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon1 – 2Cambridge
Cambridge0 – 0AFC Wimbledon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cambridgevs
AFC Wimbledon
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.8%→Latest 46.9%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.0%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Cambridge's 10 matches and 3 of AFC Wimbledon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?