Doncaster vs Plymouth Head to Head, Prediction
Eco-Power Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.55
Draw
3.61
Away Win
2.67
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Doncaster
Plymouth
28'
⚽ Will Evans
Alfie May ⚽ (P)
51'
Neill Byrne 🟨
71'
74'
⚽ Aribim Pepple (Caleb Watts)
Isaac Hutchinson 🟨
79'
83'
⚽ Caleb Watts
Jack Senior 🟨
86'
Sean Grehan (Bayley McCann) ⚽
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
17
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
9
7
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Doncaster (4-2-3-1)
T. Simkin
S. Grehan
N. Byrne
J. McGrath
J. Senior
O. Bailey
R. Gotts
T. O'Reilly
I. Hutchinson
B. Hanlan
A. May
Plymouth (4-4-2)
M. Cooper
W. Harding
A. Mitchell
J. Pleguezuelo
M. Sorinola
R. Curtis
T. Bakinson
H. White
O. Irow
W. Evans
A. Pepple
Player Ratings ?
Doncaster
Tommy SimkinG7.7
Owen BaileyM7.7
Sean GrehanD7.2
Plymouth
Caleb WattsM8.0
Aribim PeppleF7.6
Harvey WhiteM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Plymouth
Plymouth rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Plymouth a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Doncaster win
Latest market chance 37.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.6% → 37.8%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.2%
+0.1 pts
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.2% → 35.0%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Doncaster
Draw
Plymouth
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DoncasterPlymouth
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
16th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.6
Shots/Game
15.0
4.1
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Doncaster at home (3 matches) vs Plymouth away (5 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.40
0%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Doncaster
Home form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Plymouth
Away form
W
D
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Doncaster Wins
1
Draws
0
Plymouth Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.8
Plymouth2 – 1Doncaster
Doncaster1 – 5Plymouth
Doncaster1 – 3Plymouth
Plymouth2 – 1Doncaster
Doncaster2 – 1Plymouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Doncastervs
Plymouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 53.6%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 58.2%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Doncaster's 10 matches and 6 of Plymouth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?