Leyton Orient vs Stevenage Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Matchroom Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.26
Away Win
3.04
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Leyton Orient
Stevenage
31'
🟨 Terence Vancooten
32'
🟨 Lewis Freestone
59'
🟨 Louis Thompson
65'
🟨 Daniel Phillips
Alexander George Henry Gilbert (Idris El Mizouni) ⚽
79'
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
7
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
6
10
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Leyton Orient (4-2-3-1)
N. Baxter
F. Stevens
W. Forrester
J. Olowu
P. Chinedu
I. El Mizouni
I. Hayden
Y. Akhamrich
A. Gilbert
T. Springett
J. Kabia
Stevenage (4-4-1-1)
T. Setford
L. James-Wildin
T. Vancooten
C. Piergianni
L. Freestone
O. Sanderson
L. Thompson
D. Phillips
B. Broggio
D. Kemp
J. Magennis
Player Ratings ?
Leyton Orient
A. GilbertM7.2
N. BaxterG6.7
I. El MizouniM6.7
Stevenage
M. MellonF7.1
M. SmithM7.0
D. KempM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leyton Orient edge head-to-head, Stevenage edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stevenage slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leyton Orient stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stevenage have recorded just one victory in their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Leyton Orient remain winless at home with four defeats in that same run. Leyton Orient have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sample period. Stevenage rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Leyton Orient rate stronger on head-to-head. Leyton Orient won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Stevenage's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Leyton Orient's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Stevenage's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Leyton Orient points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leyton Orient win as less likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leyton Orient win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
40.5% → 39.3%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.1% → 29.3%
+0.2 pts
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 31.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.4% → 31.4%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leyton Orient
Draw
Stevenage
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Leyton OrientStevenage
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
9th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
10.5
Shots/Game
10.6
4.0
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Leyton Orient at home (5 matches) vs Stevenage away (4 matches)
0.60
Points/Game
1.25
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
20%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leyton Orient
Home form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stevenage
Away form
D
L
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leyton Orient Wins
3
Draws
1
Stevenage Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Stevenage1 – 2Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient2 – 3Stevenage
Leyton Orient1 – 0Stevenage
Stevenage0 – 0Leyton Orient
Stevenage0 – 1Leyton Orient
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leyton Orientvs
Stevenage
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.0%→Latest 43.7%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Leyton Orient's 10 matches and 4 of Stevenage's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?