Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterboro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadium MK
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.96
Draw
3.94
Away Win
3.54
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Milton Keynes Dons
Peterboro
Aaron Collins ⚽
29'
Cohen Bramall 🟨
80'
85'
⚽ Chris Conn-Clarke
Alex Gilbey 🟨
86'
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
14
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
9
11
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Milton Keynes Dons (4-1-4-1)
W. Dennis
G. Jones
C. Nelson
C. Goode
C. Bramall
R. Wintle
C. Paterson
D. Crowley
A. Gilbey
A. Collins
S. Nombe
Peterboro (4-3-3)
A. Bass
James Dornelly
Joshua Feeney
D. Okagbue
E. Weir
Harrison Jones
L. Kelly
B. Woods
Bolu Shofowoke
H. Leonard
O. Edwards
Player Ratings ?
Milton Keynes Dons
A. CollinsM8.0
D. CrowleyM7.1
C. NelsonD6.9
Peterboro
C. Conn-ClarkeM8.2
D. OrmerodNone7.2
Joshua FeeneyD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Milton Keynes Dons edge recent form, attack and defence, Peterboro edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Milton Keynes Dons slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Milton Keynes Dons stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Milton Keynes Dons slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterboro stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Peterboro arrive at this League One fixture having suffered five straight defeats away from home in their last five outings, while Milton Keynes Dons have managed just a solitary loss across their own recent home sample of five matches. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home games but have only kept a clean sheet once during that same period. Milton Keynes Dons rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while Peterboro rate stronger on head-to-head. Peterboro won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 29 December 2022, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Milton Keynes Dons's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Milton Keynes Dons win
Latest market chance 47.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.8% → 47.6%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 24.8%
−0.6 pts
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 27.5%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Milton Keynes Dons
Draw
Peterboro
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Milton Keynes DonsPeterboro
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
20th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
0.80
1.40
Goals/Game
0.60
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.80
14.4
Shots/Game
13.4
3.3
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Milton Keynes Dons at home (3 matches) vs Peterboro away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.25
0.67
Goals/Game
0.25
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Milton Keynes Dons
Home form
D
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Peterboro
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons Wins
0
Draws
1
Peterboro Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.2
Peterboro2 – 0Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons2 – 3Peterboro
Peterboro3 – 0Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons1 – 1Peterboro
Milton Keynes Dons0 – 4Peterboro
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Milton Keynes Donsvs
Peterboro
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 60.9%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.7%→Latest 62.5%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Milton Keynes Dons's 10 matches and 5 of Peterboro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?