Notts County vs Bradford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadow Lane
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.90
Draw
3.37
Away Win
2.49
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Notts County
Bradford
11'
🟨 Ibou Touray
14'
🟨 Antoni Sarcevic
Jack Evans 🟨
39'
52'
⚽ George Christopher John Pratt
Lucas Ness 🟨
58'
D. Kanu 🟨
69'
71'
🟨 George Christopher John Pratt
Jacob Bedeau 🟨
77'
90'
🟨 Nick Powell
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
9
Total Shots
8
1
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
19
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Notts County (3-4-2-1)
J. Gibbons
J. Gibbons
L. Ness
J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla
R. Finneran
J. Evans
D. Lipsiuc
O. Cooper
H. Mustapha
L. Smyth
Bradford (3-4-2-1)
J. McCracken
M. Pennington
A. Baldwin
George Christopher John Pratt
J. Neufville
A. Phillips
C. Connolly
I. Touray
A. Sarcevic
B. Pointon
J. Beesley
Player Ratings ?
Notts County
D. LipsiucM6.8
C. RobertsF6.7
R. Longelo-MbuleM6.6
Bradford
M. PenningtonD7.6
A. BaldwinD7.6
George Christopher John PrattD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Notts County edge attack and head-to-head, Bradford edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Notts County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bradford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Notts County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bradford have recorded two victories and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Notts County have secured two wins and two draws from their home outings over the same span. Notts County have found the net in five of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Bradford rate stronger on form and defence, while Notts County rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 17 April 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Notts County win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.7% → 32.4%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.8%
+0.5 pts
Bradford win
Latest market chance 38.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.0% → 38.7%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Notts County
Draw
Bradford
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Notts CountyBradford
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
5th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
1.80
1.40
Goals/Game
1.00
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.80
12.3
Shots/Game
10.8
3.3
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Notts County at home (3 matches) vs Bradford away (5 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.80
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.60
33%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Notts County
Home form
D
L
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bradford
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Notts County Wins
3
Draws
2
Bradford Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
Bradford1 – 1Notts County
Notts County3 – 0Bradford
Bradford0 – 3Notts County
Notts County4 – 2Bradford
Notts County1 – 1Bradford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Notts Countyvs
Bradford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.3%→Latest 44.2%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 50.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Notts County's 10 matches and 5 of Bradford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?