Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head, Prediction
The Brick Community Stadium
Wed 02 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.39
Draw
3.48
Away Win
2.95
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Finley Burns 🟨
8'
18'
🟨 Jack Sanders
Jensen Weir (Max Power) ⚽
36'
Max Power ⚽
48'
62'
🟨 Alex Gilbey
Dara James Morgan Costelloe 🟨
72'
Jensen Weir (Bradley Burrowes) ⚽
74'
81'
⚽ Aaron Collins
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
19
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Wigan (3-4-2-1)
J. Whitworth
J. Carragher
F. Burns
M. Fox
J. Weir
M. Power
Charlie Gray
F. Murray
D. Costelloe
L. Harris
S. Perkins
Milton Keynes Dons (3-1-4-2)
C. MacGillivray
C. Goode
J. Sanders
C. Nelson
D. Barlaser
R. Barnett
B. Wiles
R. Wintle
C. Bramall
S. Nombe
C. Paterson
Player Ratings ?
Wigan
M. PowerM8.7
J. WeirM8.7
M. FoxD6.9
Milton Keynes Dons
A. CollinsF7.6
S. NombeF6.6
D. BarlaserM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wigan edge defence, Milton Keynes Dons edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Milton Keynes Dons stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wigan stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Milton Keynes Dons stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Wigan
Wigan's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wigan win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wigan win
Latest market chance 39.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.2% → 39.2%
+6.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.6% → 28.5%
−0.1 pts
Milton Keynes Dons win
Latest market chance 32.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.2% → 32.3%
−5.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wigan
Draw
Milton Keynes Dons
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WiganMilton Keynes Dons
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
19th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.7
Shots/Game
14.4
3.1
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Wigan at home (4 matches) vs Milton Keynes Dons away (4 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
0.75
0.75
Goals/Game
1.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wigan
Home form
D
W
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Milton Keynes Dons
Away form
D
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wigan Wins
2
Draws
1
Milton Keynes Dons Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Milton Keynes Dons1 – 1Wigan
Wigan1 – 2Milton Keynes Dons
Wigan3 – 0Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons2 – 0Wigan
Wigan5 – 1Milton Keynes Dons
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wiganvs
Milton Keynes Dons
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
6/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.4%→Latest 47.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 53.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Wigan's 10 matches and 7 of Milton Keynes Dons's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?