Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head | League One

Match Report

Full Time

3 – 3

Match Events

Wycombe

Milton Keynes Dons

D. Casey (C. Boyd-Munce) ⚽

11'

E. Henderson ⚽

31'

36'

🟨 Alex Gilbey

41'

🟨 Aaron Collins

51'

⚽ A. Collins (C. Paterson)

55'

⚽ C. Paterson (A. Collins)

59'

⚽ C. Nelson (D. Crowley)

J. Wareham (S. Thomas) ⚽

74'

84'

🟨 Marvin Ekpiteta

Match Statistics

55%

Ball Possession

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Wycombe (4-2-3-1)

C. Hazard

S. Parker

D. Casey

C. Taylor

A. Hagelskjaer

E. Henderson

C. Boyd-Munce

F. Onyedinma

C. Woodrow

M. Mothersille

J. Wareham

Milton Keynes Dons (4-1-4-1)

C. MacGillivray

G. Jones

M. Ekpiteta

C. Nelson

C. Bramall

D. Barlaser

R. Barnett

R. Wintle

A. Gilbey

A. Collins

S. Nombe

Player Ratings

Wycombe

Dan CaseyD8.5

Jayden WarehamF7.7

Ewan HendersonM7.5

Milton Keynes Dons

Aaron CollinsM8.2

Curtis NelsonD7.2

Callum PatersonF7.0

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Wycombe edge attack, Milton Keynes Dons edge defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Closely matched

HomeAway

Attack

Wycombe stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Milton Keynes Dons slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Milton Keynes Dons stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift towards Wycombe

Wycombe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wycombe win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Wycombe win

Latest market chance 41.1%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

38.1% → 41.1%

+3.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.9% → 26.9%

±0.0 pts

Milton Keynes Dons win

Latest market chance 32.0%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

35.0% → 32.0%

−3.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

3 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Wycombe

Draw

Milton Keynes Dons

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Wycombe

Milton Keynes Dons

Season Profile

This season

24th

League Position

23rd

Games Played

0.50

Points/Game

0.75

1.00

Goals/Game

1.00

2.25

Conceded/Game

1.50

12.1

Shots/Game

14.4

5.0

Shots on Target

3.3

Home vs Away Context

Wycombe at home (4 matches) vs Milton Keynes Dons away (4 matches)

0.75

Points/Game

0.75

1.75

Goals/Game

1.50

2.00

Conceded/Game

2.00

Win Rate

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Wycombe

Home form

Lost 3 of last 5 at home

3 of these matches from last season.

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Milton Keynes Dons

Away form

Winless in last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

0.8

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Wycombe Wins

Draws

Milton Keynes Dons Wins

Avg Goals

1.8

2023-04-012022-2023

Wycombe2 – 2Milton Keynes Dons

2022-10-222022-2023

Milton Keynes Dons0 – 1Wycombe

2022-01-292021-2022

Wycombe0 – 1Milton Keynes Dons

2021-09-252021-2022

Milton Keynes Dons1 – 0Wycombe

2020-02-012019-2020

Milton Keynes Dons2 – 0Wycombe

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Wycombe

Milton Keynes Dons

Recent Scoring Profile

1.40

Goals scored / game

1.10

2.40

Goals conceded / game

1.50

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

2/10

Failed to Score

4/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

75.7%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

53.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

32.8%

BTTSBoth teams score

57.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 52.4%→Latest 53.2%+0.8 pts

Slight move towards 3+ goals

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.6%+0.6 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

6 of Wycombe's 10 matches and 6 of Milton Keynes Dons's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head, Prediction