Accrington vs Newport County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Crown Ground
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.49
Away Win
3.57
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Accrington
Newport County
Donald Love 🟨
21'
78'
🟨 Cameron Norman
83'
🟨 Harrison Biggins
Stefan Mols 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
21
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Accrington (3-4-1-2)
L. Moulden
D. Love
S. Conneely
J. Anderson
C. O'Brien
Stefan Mols
L. Coyle
D. Tutonda
J. Woods
T. Walton
C. Caton
Newport County (3-4-2-1)
J. Wright
L. Jenkins
K. Cameron
Joe Thomas
C. Norman
M. Dibley-Dias
C. Brennan
M. Jacob
H. Biggins
K. Evans
C. Doidge
Player Ratings ?
Accrington
L. MouldenG7.7
S. ConneelyD7.0
C. O'BrienM6.8
Newport County
J. WrightG7.0
T. NyakuhwaF6.9
K. CameronD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Accrington edge attack and head-to-head, Newport County edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Newport County stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Accrington slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Accrington stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Newport County have struggled in their away fixtures recently, managing just a solitary victory from their last five outings, while Accrington have found more stability at home with three draws and a win among their most recent five matches. Accrington have been involved in scoring action in every one of their last five home games, yet they have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Newport County rate stronger on form, while Accrington rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. Accrington won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 27 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Newport County's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
70%
Newport County yellow cards after 75'
3
Newport County points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Accrington win
Latest market chance 45.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.6% → 45.8%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.4%
+0.1 pts
Newport County win
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 26.8%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Accrington
Draw
Newport County
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AccringtonNewport County
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
19th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
0.83
1.67
Goals/Game
1.67
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.83
14.6
Shots/Game
10.4
4.9
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Accrington at home (5 matches) vs Newport County away (5 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.40
1.80
Goals/Game
0.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.60
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Accrington
Home form
L
D
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Newport County
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Accrington Wins
3
Draws
0
Newport County Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Newport County1 – 4Accrington
Accrington0 – 1Newport County
Accrington5 – 0Newport County
Newport County3 – 1Accrington
Newport County1 – 3Accrington
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Accringtonvs
Newport County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.4%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 54.7%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Accrington's 10 matches and 4 of Newport County's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?