Barnet vs Fleetwood Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Hive Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.09
Away Win
4.83
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Barnet
Fleetwood Town
Kabongo Tshimanga ⚽ (P)
10'
36'
⚽ Will davies
43'
🟨 Shaun Rooney
Charlie Lakin ⚽
60'
Idris Kanu (Kabongo Tshimanga) ⚽
62'
Oisin Gallagher 🟨
69'
Idris Kanu 🟨
75'
Nnamdi Ofoborh 🟨
85'
Nnamdi Ofoborh 🟥
85'
90+5'
🟨 Ched Evans
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
6
20
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
7
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Barnet (4-2-3-1)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
Z. Williams
R. Crichlow-Noble
B. Comley
O. Gallagher
I. Kanu
C. Lakin
T. Knowles
K. Tshimanga
Fleetwood Town (3-1-4-2)
J. Lynch
S. Rooney
R. Bennett
F. Potter
H. Neal
L. McCann
A. Murphy
M. Helm
D. Andrew
R. Coughlan
W. Davies
Player Ratings ?
Barnet
C. LakinM7.7
K. TshimangaF7.6
I. KanuM7.5
Fleetwood Town
W. DaviesF7.5
R. CoughlanF6.3
A. Loupalo-BiF6.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Barnet edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Fleetwood Town edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fleetwood Town slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fleetwood Town have kept their record clean in five away outings with two wins and three draws, while Barnet remain unbeaten at home with four victories and a single draw in their last five matches. Barnet have found the net in every one of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Barnet rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Fleetwood Town hold a slight advantage in defence. Barnet won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 6 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters to Fleetwood Town's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Barnet's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points, while Fleetwood Town's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barnet
Barnet's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barnet win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barnet win
Latest market chance 56.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
53.6% → 56.8%
+3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.6% → 23.4%
−1.2 pts
Fleetwood Town win
Latest market chance 19.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.8% → 19.8%
−2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barnet
Draw
Fleetwood Town
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarnetFleetwood Town
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
1.67
2.33
Goals/Game
1.17
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.67
15.7
Shots/Game
14.4
4.9
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Barnet at home (4 matches) vs Fleetwood Town away (5 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
1.00
2.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.40
75%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barnet
Home form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fleetwood Town
Away form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barnet Wins
2
Draws
0
Fleetwood Town Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.5
Fleetwood Town2 – 5Barnet
Barnet0 – 2Fleetwood Town
Barnet2 – 0Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town2 – 1Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barnetvs
Fleetwood Town
Recent Scoring Profile
2.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.90
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 56.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 55.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Barnet's 10 matches and 4 of Fleetwood Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?