Chesterfield vs Gillingham Head to Head, Prediction
SMH Group Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.60
Draw
3.90
Away Win
5.69
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Chesterfield
Gillingham
J. Koroma ⚽
22'
29'
🟨 L. Dobbs
K. McFadzean 🟨
31'
58'
⚽ R. Hale
90+5'
🟨 W. Goodwin
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Chesterfield
Chesterfield rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Gillingham edge head-to-head, giving Chesterfield a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chesterfield slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gillingham slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 60.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.9% → 60.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.8% → 23.8%
±0.0 pts
Gillingham win
Latest market chance 15.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.3% → 15.9%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chesterfield
Draw
Gillingham
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChesterfieldGillingham
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
21st
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
0.67
0.67
Goals/Game
0.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
18.4
Shots/Game
10.3
6.4
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Chesterfield at home (5 matches) vs Gillingham away (4 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
1.25
2.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.25
40%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chesterfield
Home form
D
W
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gillingham
Away form
D
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chesterfield Wins
1
Draws
2
Gillingham Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Chesterfield1 – 0Gillingham
Gillingham4 – 1Chesterfield
Chesterfield1 – 1Gillingham
Gillingham1 – 0Chesterfield
Gillingham1 – 1Chesterfield
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chesterfieldvs
Gillingham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.80
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.5%→Latest 48.7%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 47.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Chesterfield's 10 matches and 7 of Gillingham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?