Chesterfield vs Tranmere Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Proact Stadium
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
4.22
Away Win
4.49
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Chesterfield
Tranmere
Paul Anthony Cook 🟨
10'
Dilan Markanday (Remeao Hutton) ⚽
15'
18'
🟨 Tom Conlon
Lee Bonis 🟨
21'
41'
🟨 Joe Ironside
George McEachran 🟨
54'
57'
🟨 Joel Senior
59'
⚽ dylan jones (Thomas Ince)
Kyle McFadzean 🟨
79'
Louie Marsh (Dilan Markanday) ⚽
83'
Josh Koroma (Louie Marsh) ⚽
85'
Josh Koroma (Lee Bonis) ⚽
90+1'
90+4'
⚽ Jacob Slater (Sam Finley)
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
26
Total Shots
6
10
Shots on Goal
3
12
Corner Kicks
1
11
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)
R. Boot
R. Hutton
K. McFadzean
J. Simpson
L. Gordon
R. Stirk
G. McEachran
D. Markanday
L. Marsh
J. Randall
L. Bonis
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
H. Male
J. Senior
B. Faulkner
N. Smith
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
Z. Okoro
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside
Player Ratings ?
Chesterfield
D. MarkandayM8.6
J. KoromaF8.4
L. MarshM8.0
Tranmere
D. JonesF7.9
H. MaleG6.9
T. InceM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chesterfield edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Chesterfield slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere arrive at this League Two fixture with a winless run in their last five outings away from home, having drawn three times and suffered two defeats across that span, while Chesterfield have found the net in just one of their last five matches at home after picking up one victory alongside two draws and two losses within the same recent sample. At home, Chesterfield have managed to score in three of their last five matches but have only kept a clean sheet once during that identical recent period. Chesterfield rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Chesterfield's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Tranmere's implied win probability has fallen by 0.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
53%
Tranmere yellow cards after 75'
3
Tranmere points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Chesterfield
Chesterfield's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Chesterfield win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 55.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
54.8% → 55.7%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.4%
−0.5 pts
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 20.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.3% → 20.9%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chesterfield
Draw
Tranmere
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChesterfieldTranmere

Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
10th
8
Games Played
8
1.38
Points/Game
1.38
1.38
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
18.4
Shots/Game
11.2
6.4
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Chesterfield at home (5 matches) vs Tranmere away (5 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.60
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.80
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Chesterfield
Home form
L
L
D
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Tranmere
Away form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chesterfield Wins
2
Draws
2
Tranmere Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Chesterfield1 – 1Tranmere
Tranmere1 – 1Chesterfield
Tranmere4 – 0Chesterfield
Chesterfield3 – 0Tranmere
Chesterfield1 – 0Tranmere
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chesterfieldvs
Tranmere

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 56.7%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 56.0%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Chesterfield's 10 matches and 2 of Tranmere's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?