Chesterfield vs York Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Proact Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
3.49
Away Win
2.91
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Chesterfield
York
George McEachran 🟨
23'
Lee Bonis (George McEachran) ⚽
57'
80'
🟨 Ollie Banks
90'
🟨 Ollie Pearce
Dilan Markanday (F. Bryden) ⚽
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
26
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Goal
0
7
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)
R. Boot
R. Hutton
K. McFadzean
J. Simpson
L. Gordon
G. McEachran
R. Stirk
D. Markanday
L. Marsh
J. Koroma
L. Bonis
York (3-5-2)
Alfie Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson
M. Kitching
J. King
A. Hunt
O. Banks
A. Newby
H. Boyes
J. Grey
O. Pearce
Player Ratings ?
Chesterfield
D. MarkandayM8.2
L. BonisF8.0
L. GordonD7.6
York
Alfie Shane McNallyG7.0
M. KitchingD6.8
J. GreyF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chesterfield edge recent form and defence, York edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chesterfield slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
York stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
York arrive at this League Two fixture with a mixed away record in their last five outings, having secured just three draws against two defeats without a win, while Chesterfield have found success more elusive at home where they have managed only one victory alongside two draws and two losses in their own recent five matches. Chesterfield have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet just once during that same period. Chesterfield rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while York rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. York won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 29 March 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Chesterfield's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Chesterfield's implied win probability has risen by 0.5 percentage points, while York's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from York
York's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a York win as less likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Chesterfield remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 39.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.3% → 39.8%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 27.4%
+0.6 pts
York win
Latest market chance 32.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
33.9% → 32.8%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chesterfield
Draw
York
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChesterfieldYork
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
1.83
1.33
Goals/Game
2.17
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
18.4
Shots/Game
16.9
6.4
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Chesterfield at home (5 matches) vs York away (4 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.75
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chesterfield
Home form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
York
Away form
L
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chesterfield Wins
2
Draws
1
York Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
York2 – 1Chesterfield
Chesterfield4 – 0York
Chesterfield1 – 3York
York1 – 1Chesterfield
York0 – 2Chesterfield
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chesterfieldvs
York
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 55.8%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 60.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Chesterfield's 10 matches and 4 of York's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?