Colchester vs Crewe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.66
Away Win
3.26
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Colchester
Crewe
Harry Anderson (Oscar thorn) ⚽
27'
46'
🟨 Calum·Agius
90+3'
⚽ Joshua Stephenson (L. Billington)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
16
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
1
1
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
17
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Colchester (4-2-3-1)
T. Lo-Tutala
R. Hunt
J. Tucker
S. Raggett
E. Iandolo
M. Sesay
J. Williams
O. Thorn
J. Payne
H. Anderson
K. Kouassi
Crewe (4-2-3-1)
T. Booth
Calum Agius
L. Offord
J. Stephenson
L. Billington
M. Holíček
J. White
J. Tabiner
J. Lankester
J. Gibson
J. March
Player Ratings ?
Colchester
H. AndersonM7.7
J. PayneM7.6
O. ThornM7.2
Crewe
J. StephensonD7.8
L. BillingtonD7.0
T. BoothG6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Colchester edge recent form and attack, Crewe edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Colchester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Colchester stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crewe stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Colchester have enjoyed a strong home run with four wins from their last five outings, while Crewe have struggled away with just a solitary victory in that same span. At home, Colchester have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that period. Colchester rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Crewe rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Crewe won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 31 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Colchester's 0, with 4 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Colchester win
Latest market chance 44.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.1% → 44.4%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 26.6%
−0.5 pts
Crewe win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 29.0%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Colchester
Draw
Crewe
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ColchesterCrewe
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
7th
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
1.80
1.20
Goals/Game
1.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
0.60
12.6
Shots/Game
12.0
4.1
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Colchester at home (4 matches) vs Crewe away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.25
Goals/Game
0.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.50
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Colchester
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crewe
Away form
L
L
L
W
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Colchester Wins
0
Draws
4
Crewe Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.0
Crewe1 – 0Colchester
Colchester1 – 1Crewe
Colchester0 – 0Crewe
Crewe0 – 0Colchester
Colchester1 – 1Crewe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Colchestervs
Crewe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 53.3%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 56.9%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Colchester's 10 matches and 5 of Crewe's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?