Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Broadfield Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.43
Draw
3.65
Away Win
2.71
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Crawley Town
Cheltenham
Dylan Morgan (Danilo Orsi) ⚽
7'
32'
⚽ Charlie McCann
35'
⚽ Andreas Weimann (Jordan Shipley)
Dylan Morgan 🟨
35'
Charlie Barker 🟨
42'
45'
🟨 Jake Evans
54'
⚽ Charlie McCann (Andreas Weimann)
Jude Arthurs 🟨
67'
Priestley Farquharson 🟨
72'
85'
🟨 Jordan Shipley
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
18
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
8
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Crawley Town (4-4-2)
N. Michalski
K. Gordon
P. Farquharson
C. Barker
A. Adeyemo
D. Pereira
J. Arthurs
L. Watson
Osman Kamara
Dylan Morgan
D. Orsi
Cheltenham (4-1-4-1)
W. Stanway
J. Tomkinson
R. Cundy
P. Sweeney
J. Tomlinson
B. Stevenson
J. Evans
S. McWilliams
C. McCann
J. Shipley
A. Weimann
Player Ratings ?
Crawley Town
Dylan MorganNone8.2
D. OrsiF6.6
D. PereiraM6.5
Cheltenham
C. McCannM8.6
A. WeimannF8.1
W. StanwayG7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Crawley Town edge defence and head-to-head, Cheltenham edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cheltenham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cheltenham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Crawley Town stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crawley Town slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cheltenham have managed just one win and a draw from their previous five away outings, while Crawley Town remain winless at home with two draws and three defeats in that same span. Crawley Town have failed to score in any of their last five home matches but have kept two clean sheets during that period. Cheltenham rate stronger on form and attack, while Crawley Town rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Cheltenham won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 4 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Crawley Town's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Cheltenham
Cheltenham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Cheltenham win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Crawley Town remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.8% → 39.3%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 26.5%
−0.5 pts
Cheltenham win
Latest market chance 34.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
33.2% → 34.2%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crawley Town
Draw
Cheltenham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Crawley TownCheltenham
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
8th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
1.60
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.60
Conceded/Game
1.80
13.9
Shots/Game
9.3
3.3
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Crawley Town at home (3 matches) vs Cheltenham away (5 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.33
Goals/Game
1.40
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.60
0%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crawley Town
Home form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
0/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cheltenham
Away form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crawley Town Wins
3
Draws
0
Cheltenham Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Cheltenham3 – 0Crawley Town
Crawley Town2 – 0Cheltenham
Crawley Town1 – 0Cheltenham
Cheltenham2 – 0Crawley Town
Crawley Town1 – 0Cheltenham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crawley Townvs
Cheltenham
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 56.8%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 60.0%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Crawley Town's 10 matches and 5 of Cheltenham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?