Crewe vs Shrewsbury Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Alexandra Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.59
Away Win
4.32
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Crewe
Shrewsbury
Joe White 🟨
5'
22'
🟨 Isaac Lee
22'
🟨 Gavin Cowan
Jordan Gibson (Joel Tabiner) ⚽
24'
29'
🟨 Tom Sang
37'
🟨 will gray
39'
⚽ George Lloyd
Luke Offord 🟨
54'
64'
🟨 William Boyle
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
10
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
9
9
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Crewe (4-2-3-1)
T. Booth
L. Billington
L. Offord
M. Demetriou
J. Stephenson
M. Holíček
J. White
J. Lankester
J. Tabiner
J. Gibson
J. March
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
I. Lee
L. Hoole
T. Sang
will gray
K. Berkoe
Isaac Andrew Fletcher
G. Lloyd
K. M. Brown
Player Ratings ?
Crewe
J. GibsonM8.2
J. TabinerM7.5
T. BoothG7.0
Shrewsbury
G. LloydF7.9
S. StubbsD6.8
K. M. BrownF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Crewe edge attack and head-to-head, Shrewsbury edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Crewe stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crewe stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Shrewsbury arrive at this venue with a difficult away record of just one draw and four defeats from their last five outings, while Crewe have found more stability at home with one win, three draws, and a single loss in the same span. Crewe have scored in four of their last five home matches yet remain vulnerable defensively, having kept just two clean sheets during that identical five-match period. Crewe rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Shrewsbury hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. Crewe won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 21 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Shrewsbury's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Crewe
Crewe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Crewe win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crewe win
Latest market chance 50.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
47.1% → 50.3%
+3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.7% → 26.9%
−0.8 pts
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.1% → 22.8%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crewe
Draw
Shrewsbury
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CreweShrewsbury

Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
18th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
12.0
Shots/Game
13.2
3.3
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Crewe at home (5 matches) vs Shrewsbury away (5 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.80
1.60
Goals/Game
0.60
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.80
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Crewe
Home form
L
D
W
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Shrewsbury
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
0/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crewe Wins
3
Draws
2
Shrewsbury Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Shrewsbury0 – 4Crewe
Crewe3 – 1Shrewsbury
Crewe0 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1 – 1Crewe
Crewe3 – 2Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crewevs
Shrewsbury

Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
3/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 49.0%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 52.0%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Crewe's 10 matches and 4 of Shrewsbury's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?