Exeter vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction
St James Park
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.29
Draw
3.87
Away Win
2.03
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Exeter
Barnet
22'
🟨 B. Comley
41'
🟨 C. Lakin
J. Gordon 🟨
45+2'
60'
⚽ I. Kanu
R. Cole (G. Edwards) ⚽
67'
82'
🟨 I. Noel-Williams
86'
🟨 T. Knowles
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Exeter edge defence and head-to-head, Barnet edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Exeter
Exeter's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Exeter win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Barnet remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Exeter win
Latest market chance 28.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
29.7% → 28.9%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 26.0%
+0.4 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 45.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.6% → 45.1%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Exeter
Draw
Barnet
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ExeterBarnet
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
1st
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
2.33
1.00
Goals/Game
2.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
11.1
Shots/Game
15.7
3.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Exeter at home (5 matches) vs Barnet away (3 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.67
0.80
Goals/Game
2.33
0.20
Conceded/Game
1.67
40%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Exeter
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnet
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Exeter Wins
4
Draws
1
Barnet Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
Exeter2 – 1Barnet
Barnet1 – 2Exeter
Exeter2 – 1Barnet
Barnet1 – 4Exeter
Exeter1 – 1Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Exetervs
Barnet
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.90
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 55.6%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 59.0%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Exeter's 10 matches and 7 of Barnet's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?