Exeter vs Tranmere Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
St James Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.25
Draw
3.50
Away Win
3.09
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Exeter
Tranmere
30'
🟨 Nathan Smith
Josh Gordon 🟨
45'
Edward James 🟨
52'
65'
🟨 Dylan Jones
75'
🟨 Jacob Slater
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
2
16
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Exeter (3-4-1-2)
J. Bycroft
E. James
J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse
L. Samuel
J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins
V. Harper
R. Cole
J. Gordon
D. Rose
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
H. Male
J. Senior
N. Smith
G. Nevett
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
J. Davies
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
D. Jones
Player Ratings ?
Exeter
L. SamuelM7.2
R. ColeM7.0
J. GordonF6.8
Tranmere
Charlie Jay WhitakerM7.2
Charlie VeeversM6.9
T. InceM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Exeter edge defence, Tranmere edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tranmere slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tranmere slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Exeter have secured two victories in that same sample of five home matches. Exeter have found the net in three of their last five home games and kept two clean sheets during that identical run. Tranmere rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Exeter rate stronger on defence. Tranmere won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 18 April 2022, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Exeter's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
65%
Tranmere yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Exeter win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.2% → 41.5%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 27.9%
−0.3 pts
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 30.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.6% → 30.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Exeter
Draw
Tranmere
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ExeterTranmere
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
0.83
Points/Game
1.50
0.67
Goals/Game
1.50
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
11.1
Shots/Game
11.2
3.6
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Exeter at home (5 matches) vs Tranmere away (5 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
0.60
0.80
Goals/Game
1.00
0.20
Conceded/Game
1.80
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Exeter
Home form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tranmere
Away form
W
L
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Exeter Wins
1
Draws
0
Tranmere Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Tranmere2 – 0Exeter
Exeter0 – 1Tranmere
Tranmere2 – 1Exeter
Exeter5 – 0Tranmere
Exeter0 – 1Tranmere
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Exetervs
Tranmere
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 47.5%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 52.7%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Exeter's 10 matches and 4 of Tranmere's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?