Exeter vs Walsall Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
St James Park
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.48
Draw
3.42
Away Win
2.79
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Exeter
Walsall
77'
🟨 Elicha Ahui
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
8
16
Fouls
22
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Exeter (4-2-3-1)
J. Bycroft
L. Samuel
E. James
J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse
J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins
R. Cole
J. Gordon
G. Edwards
S. Cox
Walsall (4-2-3-1)
J. Ward
E. Ahui
J. Connolly
R. Leak
M. Hancock
I. Moore
C. Crew
C. Clarke
A. Evans
R. Smith
A. Pressley
Player Ratings ?
Exeter
J. FitzwaterD7.2
E. JamesD6.9
T. PerryM6.9
Walsall
R. LeakD7.4
J. WardG7.1
J. ConnollyD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Exeter edge defence and head-to-head, Walsall edge attack, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Walsall stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Exeter
Exeter's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Exeter win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Exeter win
Latest market chance 38.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
36.7% → 38.0%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 27.8%
−0.1 pts
Walsall win
Latest market chance 34.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
35.4% → 34.2%
−1.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Exeter
Draw
Walsall
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Exeter
Walsall
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
3rd
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.1
Shots/Game
14.6
3.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Exeter at home (5 matches) vs Walsall away (4 matches)
1.80
Points/Game
1.50
0.80
Goals/Game
1.50
0.20
Conceded/Game
0.75
40%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Exeter
Home form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Walsall
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Exeter Wins
1
Draws
3
Walsall Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
2022-01-222021-2022
Walsall0 – 2Exeter
2021-10-022021-2022
Exeter2 – 2Walsall
2021-03-022020-2021
Exeter0 – 0Walsall
2020-10-172020-2021
Walsall0 – 0Exeter
2020-03-072019-2020
Walsall3 – 1Exeter
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Exeter
vs
Walsall
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.80
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
75.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
52.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 52.5%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 57.6%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Aug 31Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 4
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Exeter's 10 matches and 6 of Walsall's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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