Gillingham vs Tranmere Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Priestfield Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.52
Draw
3.37
Away Win
2.78
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Gillingham
Tranmere
Robbie McKenzie 🟨
26'
31'
🟨 Nathan Smith
Eli King 🟨
35'
Logan Dobbs (Ronan Chapman Hale) ⚽
68'
76'
🟨 Darrell James Clarke
Ronan Chapman Hale (Garath McCleary) ⚽
80'
Conor McManus 🟨
86'
89'
🟨 Will Vaulks
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Gillingham (3-4-2-1)
O. Wright
A. Smith
O. Beckles
L. Dobbs
N. Freeman
R. McKenzie
E. King
Conor McManus
J. Brophy
H. Waldock
Ronan Hale
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
L. McGee
J. Senior
N. Smith
B. Faulkner
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
S. Finley
D. Jones
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside
Player Ratings ?
Gillingham
Ronan HaleF8.5
L. DobbsD7.6
G. McClearyM7.3
Tranmere
B. FaulknerD7.2
J. SeniorD6.9
N. SmithD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gillingham edge head-to-head, Tranmere edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Tranmere slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gillingham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere have found away form difficult recently, managing just one win from their last five outings across seasons, while Gillingham sit at home with two victories in that same span of five matches. At the club's home venue, Gillingham have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets within that identical recent sample. Tranmere rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Gillingham rate stronger on head-to-head. Gillingham won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 7 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Tranmere's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Gillingham
Gillingham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Gillingham win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gillingham win
Latest market chance 37.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.6% → 37.1%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.3% → 28.8%
−0.5 pts
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 34.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
35.1% → 34.2%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gillingham
Draw
Tranmere
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GillinghamTranmere

Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
1.80
1.20
Goals/Game
1.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.3
Shots/Game
11.2
3.6
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Gillingham at home (5 matches) vs Tranmere away (5 matches)
1.60
Points/Game
0.60
1.20
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.80
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Gillingham
Home form
W
L
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Tranmere
Away form
D
W
L
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gillingham Wins
2
Draws
3
Tranmere Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Gillingham2 – 1Tranmere
Tranmere1 – 1Gillingham
Tranmere1 – 1Gillingham
Gillingham3 – 0Tranmere
Gillingham1 – 1Tranmere
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gillinghamvs
Tranmere

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 46.9%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 52.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Gillingham's 10 matches and 5 of Tranmere's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?